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新一代核心交易产品FS2.5
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金证股份(600446):战略聚焦及下游IT执行致收入短期承压
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][17]. Core Insights - The company's revenue and profit have fallen short of expectations, with a significant decline in total revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 compared to the previous year [7][17]. - The company is focusing on its core financial technology business, leading to a substantial reduction in non-financial business revenue [7][17]. - The gross margin has improved year-on-year, and the company has implemented strict cost control measures [7][17]. - The new generation core system FS2.5 is being successfully deployed across multiple clients, enhancing performance while reducing hardware costs [7][17]. - The company is expanding its investment technology business, with successful bids for new projects in both asset management and investment bookkeeping systems [7][17]. - Despite the rapid decline in revenue, the focus on core business is expected to enhance the company's competitiveness in the financial technology sector [17]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The total revenue for 2025 is projected to be 28.50 billion, with net profit expected to be 2.07 billion [6][17]. - The company has adjusted its revenue and profit forecasts downward due to faster-than-expected contraction in non-core business and slower IT implementation in downstream sectors [16][17]. - The average price-to-sales (PS) ratio for comparable companies is estimated at 5.8x, suggesting a valuation of approximately 168 billion for the company in 2025, indicating over 5% upside potential [17][19].