Core Insights - Yuexiu Capital's performance forecast for the first three quarters of 2025 is better than expected, with a projected net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.92 to 3.09 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 70% to 80% [1] - The company's non-recurring net profit is expected to be between 1.41 to 1.58 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 18% to 32% [1] - The strong performance is driven by the steady development of the new energy business and high investment returns due to a prosperous capital market [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.36 to 1.54 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 94% to 118% [1] - The company has changed its accounting method for equity investments, which is expected to contribute a one-time gain of 2.02 and 0.30 billion yuan, adding approximately 1.18 billion yuan to Q3 2025 net profit [2] - However, the company anticipates asset impairment and credit impairment provisions of 1.4 to 1.6 billion yuan, which will reduce the net profit for the first nine months of 2025 by 720 to 820 million yuan [2] New Energy Business - The new energy business continues to grow, with total electricity generation of 7.81 billion kWh in the first half of 2025, resulting in electricity revenue of 2.42 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 123% [3] - Yuexiu New Energy, a subsidiary, achieved revenue of 2.20 billion yuan and a net profit of 520 million yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting year-on-year increases of 122% and 134%, respectively [3] - The company plans to focus on solar, wind, and energy storage sectors to diversify its new energy product offerings and enhance operational efficiency [3] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a high growth trajectory for the full year, with projected net profits of 3.41 billion yuan, 3.67 billion yuan, and 4.01 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth of 49%, 8%, and 9% respectively [3] - Current closing prices correspond to dynamic price-to-book ratios of 1.23x, 1.15x, and 1.07x, and dynamic price-to-earnings ratios of 12.0x, 11.2x, and 10.2x for 2025 to 2027 [3]