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天赐材料(002709):2025中报分析:出货持续增长,期待挺价预期下的潜在弹性
Changjiang Securities· 2025-09-15 13:15
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 7.029 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.97%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 268 million yuan, up 12.79% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 235 million yuan, an increase of 26.01% year-on-year [2][4]. - In the second quarter of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.540 billion yuan, which is an 18.52% increase year-on-year and a 1.47% increase quarter-on-quarter. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 3.94% year-on-year and 20.94% quarter-on-quarter, amounting to 118 million yuan. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 100 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.37% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 25.23% [2][4]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profit Analysis - For the first half of 2025, lithium battery materials revenue reached 6.302 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.2%, driven by increased sales linked to the expansion of demand in the new energy vehicle and energy storage sectors. The gross margin was 17.05%, a slight decrease of 0.06 percentage points year-on-year [9]. - The revenue from daily chemicals and specialty chemicals was 614 million yuan, up 12.93% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 30.27%, down 0.51 percentage points year-on-year [9]. Market Outlook - The company anticipates continued growth in electrolyte shipments in Q2 2025, expected to slightly exceed industry growth rates, with stable net profit per ton. The industry price stability and the company's relatively stable profitability are noted [9]. - The company is expected to be among the first in the lithium battery supply chain to alleviate supply-demand imbalances, with potential price increases anticipated in the industry as it enters a peak season [9]. Financial Projections - The total revenue for 2025 is projected to be 16.649 billion yuan, with a gross profit of 3.144 billion yuan, maintaining a gross margin of 19% [13]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to reach 795 million yuan in 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to be 0.42 yuan [13].