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股价“过山车”后基石股份即将解禁,讯众通信的新估值锚点能否兑现?
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-05 16:14
Core Viewpoint - Xunzhong Communication is facing significant challenges due to a contractual dispute with Beijing Yacon and Beijing Yunxi, leading to the judicial freezing of two bank accounts. The upcoming unlocking of 9.5565 million shares held by cornerstone investors on January 9 may pressure the stock price if they choose to realize profits [1][5]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Dynamics - Xunzhong Communication's stock has experienced volatility since its listing on July 9, 2025, with a significant initial drop and subsequent fluctuations around the issue price of HKD 13.55 [5][7]. - The company’s shares were oversubscribed 12.79 times in the Hong Kong public offering, but the international offering saw only a 1.01 times subscription, indicating a relatively lukewarm market response [2][3]. - The cornerstone investor, Tongzhou International Development Co., subscribed to 9.5565 million shares, representing 31.39% of the total global offering, which may influence future stock liquidity and price stability [3][4]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Growth Prospects - Xunzhong Communication's revenue from 2022 to 2024 showed steady growth, with figures of approximately RMB 8.1 billion, RMB 9.16 billion, and RMB 9.18 billion, primarily driven by CPaaS business [8][9]. - However, the net profit for the same period declined significantly, with 2024's net profit dropping to RMB 53.55 million, indicating challenges in profitability despite revenue growth [9][10]. - The company is transitioning to a dual-driven growth model, focusing on both stable cloud communication services and high-growth intelligent communication solutions, which are expected to align well with government initiatives [11][13]. Group 3: Market Challenges and Strategic Adjustments - In the first half of 2025, Xunzhong Communication's total revenue decreased by 27.55% due to a strategic reduction in low-margin clients and regulatory changes affecting service demand [10][12]. - Despite the revenue decline, the company reported a significant increase in cash flow from operating activities, achieving a net cash flow of RMB 73.78 million, marking a turnaround from previous years of negative cash flow [13]. - The successful implementation of high-margin intelligent communication solutions, particularly in government and public sectors, is seen as a key driver for future growth and may attract further support from state-owned investors [11][13].