业绩大增，中国东方教育（00667）股价却反跌，但之后两个交易日迅速修复趋势，该公司估值见顶了吗？ 今年以来，中国东方教育市值走势非常强势，截至目前累计涨幅超过了2.3倍，成为了职业教育板块"最靓的仔"，然而随着市值暴涨，公司估值也来到了阶 段性高点，PE达到了34倍。但相比于2021年双减前的市值，该公司仍缩水超过50%，不过该公司业绩不受双减影响稳步增长，上限空间仍很大。 根据预告，2025财年将继续保持高增长，中国东方教育存在阶段性赶顶信号，但凭借多因素驱动或难阻长期上涨的趋势。 中国东方教育走牛，两个核心维度双驱 直通财经APP了解到，近日中国东方教育发布业绩预告，预期2025年上半年纯利同比增长45%-50%。而公司盈利增长的原因主要期间的新生注册及新客户注 册数量增加约7%，从而导致收入增加约10%，另外高效的营运及成本控制，导致公司的整体成本在收入增长的情况下，仍能保持相对平稳。 在此背景下，该公司或被逼空主题多头资金看上，2025年1月，其申报的淡仓接近3000万股，每日沽空比例平均在10%以内，淡仓浮动表明空头强度，6月中 旬淡仓数量3414万股达今年最高记录，截止8月1日淡仓数量2304万 ...

Core Viewpoint - China Oriental Education has shown significant stock price growth of 90% this year, outperforming the vocational education sector by over 85 percentage points, despite previous declines in market value due to policy impacts [1][2] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 4.116 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 3.5%, with gross profit reaching 2.115 billion RMB, up 10.8%. Shareholder net profit surged by 88% to 513 million RMB, with gross and net profit margins improving to 51.38% and 12.46%, respectively [1][5][7] - The company plans to distribute a final dividend of 0.22 HKD per share, resulting in a payout ratio of 93.5% and a dividend yield of nearly 4% [1] Brand Performance - China Oriental Education operates five training brands, achieving an average employment rate of 94.9% across these brands in 2024. Revenue contributions from each brand were as follows: New Oriental (46.6%), Oumandi (2.56%), Xinhua Computer (18.54%), Wantong (22.2%), and Oumandi (8.3%) [2][4] - The average tuition fee across all brands was 27,600 RMB, reflecting a 3.6% increase, with training participants totaling approximately 146,300, a slight increase of 0.4% year-on-year [2][4] Cost Management - The company has optimized its cost structure, with selling, administrative, and financing expense ratios decreasing to 23.66%, 12.34%, and 2.87%, respectively. The overall period expense ratio fell to 38.87%, a decrease of 16.75 percentage points year-on-year [5] Industry Context - The vocational education and training market in China exceeded 1 trillion RMB in 2022, with stable growth expected. The sector is experiencing renewed opportunities due to high unemployment rates and a demand for specialized skills [6] - China Oriental Education stands out as a rare investment opportunity in the vocational training sector, benefiting from increased attention and a strong fundamental performance [6][8]