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老白干酒(600559):本部表现稳健 盈利能力稳中有升
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-30 00:54
Core Viewpoint - The company reported its 2025 H1 results, showing slight revenue growth but facing challenges in Q2 due to external market conditions. The overall outlook remains positive with expectations of improved profitability driven by market share gains and brand performance [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In 2025 H1, total revenue reached 2.48 billion, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 320 million, and net profit excluding non-recurring items at 300 million, reflecting year-on-year growth of 0.5%, 5.4%, and 6.5% respectively [1]. - For Q2 2025, total revenue was 1.31 billion, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 170 million, and net profit excluding non-recurring items at 150 million, showing year-on-year changes of -1.9%, +0.2%, and +0.9% respectively [1]. - The gross margin for H1 2025 increased by 2.1 percentage points to 68.0%, while Q2 saw a decrease of 1.1 percentage points to 67.4% [2]. Product and Brand Performance - The white liquor segment generated 2.47 billion in revenue for H1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 0.7%. The product structure improved, with higher-end products growing by 5.1% and lower-end products declining by 3.8% [1]. - In Q2 2025, the white liquor segment revenue was 1.31 billion, with higher-end products decreasing by 9.7% and lower-end products increasing by 7.8% [1]. - Revenue contributions from various brands in H1 2025 included 1.28 billion from Laobai Gan, 240 million from Wen Wang, 360 million from Qianlong Zui, 530 million from Wuling, and 90 million from Kongfu Jia, with Laobai Gan showing a stable performance amid competitive market conditions [1]. Regional Performance - In H1 2025, revenue by region included 1.48 billion from Hebei, 520 million from Hunan, 220 million from Anhui, 90 million from Shandong, and 150 million from other provinces, with notable growth in Hunan for Wuling liquor [1]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a steady improvement in profitability driven by increased market share, brand expansion, and cost efficiency. The revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 5.38 billion, 5.60 billion, and 5.94 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 0.4%, 4.1%, and 6.1% respectively [3]. - The expected EPS for 2025-2027 is 0.90, 0.97, and 1.07, with a target price set at 23.40, maintaining a "buy" rating [3].