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氮斯汀氟替卡松鼻喷雾剂(CF018)
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上市首日大涨 长风药业单品依赖症未解
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-10-08 15:41
Core Viewpoint - Changfeng Pharmaceutical successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on October 8, 2023, with an opening increase of 218.64% and a closing increase of 161.02%. However, the company faces significant risks due to its heavy reliance on a single product, "Inhalation Budesonide Suspension," which accounts for over 90% of its revenue, amidst increasing market competition and growth challenges [1][3][4]. Company Overview - Established in 2007, Changfeng Pharmaceutical focuses on inhalation formulations targeting respiratory diseases, including asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. The company has received six product approvals from the National Medical Products Administration and the U.S. FDA, including its flagship product, Inhalation Budesonide Suspension (CF017) [3][4]. - CF017 was approved in May 2021 and has been included in centralized procurement, covering over 10,000 medical institutions in China. According to Frost & Sullivan, CF017 is expected to hold approximately 16% of the Chinese budesonide inhalation drug market by 2024 [3][4]. Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of approximately 349 million yuan, 556 million yuan, and 608 million yuan for 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31.9%. Net profits for the same years were -49.39 million yuan, 31.72 million yuan, and 21.09 million yuan [3][4]. - In Q1 2025, Changfeng Pharmaceutical achieved revenues and net profits of 136 million yuan and 12.81 million yuan, respectively [3]. Revenue Dependency - CF017 has contributed significantly to the company's revenue, with sales accounting for 96.2%, 98.4%, 94.5%, and 91.6% of total revenue in 2022, 2023, 2024, and Q1 2025, respectively. In contrast, the revenue contribution from CF018 was only 0.1%, 0.2%, 3.9%, and 7.6% during the same periods [4][5]. Market Competition - The global inhalation formulation market for respiratory diseases is projected to reach $26.8 billion (approximately 195.6 billion yuan) in 2024, with an expected CAGR of 6.2% until 2033. The Chinese market is anticipated to grow from 23.2 billion yuan in 2024 to 35.1 billion yuan by 2033, with a CAGR of 4.7% [5][6]. - In the Chinese budesonide inhalation market, Changfeng Pharmaceutical ranks fourth, with a market share of 10.1% in sales revenue and 15.7% in volume. The product's unit price is 2.95 yuan, ranking third among seven major companies [6]. Growth Challenges - The growth of CF017 has shown signs of slowing down, with sales volume increasing from 121 million units in 2022 to 209 million units in 2024, while the growth rate dropped from 63.97% to 5.66%. Sales revenue also saw a decline in growth rate from 63.05% to 4.88% during the same period [6][7]. - In Q1 2025, CF017's sales revenue and volume decreased by 8.95% and 1.95% year-on-year, respectively [6]. Strategic Initiatives - To mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single product, Changfeng Pharmaceutical aims to diversify its product line and enhance its overall resilience. The company plans to allocate 40% of its IPO proceeds to the research and clinical development of domestic and international inhalation formulation candidates, 20% for supporting other pipelines and preclinical research, and 30% for expanding and upgrading production facilities and management systems [7][8]. Historical Context - This listing marks Changfeng Pharmaceutical's third attempt to enter the capital market, having previously submitted applications to the Shanghai Stock Exchange in February 2021 and June 2023, which were ultimately withdrawn [8].