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旭升集团(603305):3Q25业绩同比高增 期待机器人+镁合金进展
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-07 00:42
Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q3 2025 performance, showing stable revenue growth driven by key clients, particularly Tesla, and a decline in profit margins due to new project ramp-up and raw material price fluctuations [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue reached 1.13 billion, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth of 0.41% and 7.64% respectively [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 99 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 70.43% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 5.5% [1]. - Non-GAAP net profit was 91 million, with year-on-year growth of 96.36% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 5.22% [1]. - Gross margin for Q3 2025 was 21.45%, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.23 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.30 percentage points [2]. - Net margin stood at 8.78%, with year-on-year growth of 3.61 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 1.22 percentage points [2]. Development Trends - Revenue stabilization is attributed to key clients, with Tesla delivering 497,000 vehicles in Q3 2025, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.4% [2]. - The energy storage business is expanding, with partnerships established with several global energy storage integrators [2]. - The company anticipates improved performance in Q4 due to the traditional automotive peak season [2]. Cost and Expenses - The company experienced an increase in the expense ratio to 11.8% in Q3 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 1.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.3 percentage points [2]. - Financial expenses rose, contributing to a decrease in profitability, with estimated foreign exchange gains dropping by approximately 33 million [2]. Future Outlook - The company expects a reduction in financial expenses following the strong redemption of convertible bonds and anticipates gradual recovery in profitability as new projects complete their ramp-up phase [3]. Global Expansion and New Growth Points - The company is accelerating its global expansion, with a factory in Mexico operational since June 2025 and a new facility in Thailand under construction [4]. - New business developments include investments in magnesium alloy components for robots and vehicles, with successful integration of magnesium alloy projects with several international clients [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to increased industry competition and pressure on client sales, the company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 down by 15.9% and 5.9% to 420 million and 600 million respectively [5]. - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 36.2x for 2025 and 25.5x for 2026, with a target price of 18.3 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 22.9% [5].