沪金期货主连合约

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黄金还能上车吗
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 14:36
Core Viewpoint - The gold price remains strong, with recent fluctuations indicating potential for further increases, driven by various macroeconomic factors and geopolitical tensions [1][6][7]. Price Movements - As of September 5, the London gold price rose by 0.14% to $3550.28 per ounce, with an intraday high of $3561.08 [1][2]. - COMEX gold futures also saw a slight increase of 0.06%, reaching $3608.7 per ounce, with a peak of $3619.2 [3][4]. - Domestic gold T+D rose by 0.13% to 811.65 CNY per gram, while Shanghai gold futures slightly decreased by 0.06% to 815.6 CNY per gram [4][5]. Market Drivers - The recent surge in gold prices is attributed to concerns over the credibility of the US dollar, unsustainable US fiscal policies, and expectations of monetary easing by the Federal Reserve [6][7]. - Geopolitical tensions, particularly the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and instability in the Middle East, have heightened demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [6][8]. Investment Strategies - Analysts recommend incorporating gold into investment portfolios, suggesting a long-term investment strategy with allocation between 5% to 20% [8]. - Investors are advised to adopt a phased approach to buying, taking advantage of any price corrections to enhance cost efficiency [8][9]. - Continuous monitoring of macroeconomic policies, dollar movements, and geopolitical developments is essential for adjusting investment strategies [8][9]. Future Outlook - Predictions indicate that if the Federal Reserve's independence is compromised, gold prices could potentially soar to nearly $5000 per ounce [7]. - The outlook for gold remains bullish, with targets set at $3700 per ounce by year-end, and further potential increases if favorable macroeconomic conditions persist [6][8].