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骨骼肌肉疾病中成药市场:口服用药存结构性机会,外用贴膏有望持续扩容
Ping An Securities· 2025-07-25 05:02
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the biopharmaceutical industry [1] Core Insights - The market for traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) in musculoskeletal diseases is expected to grow significantly due to an aging population and increasing prevalence of related conditions [2][18] - The oral medication segment presents structural opportunities, while external patches are anticipated to continue expanding [3][32] Summary by Sections 1. Demand Growth in Musculoskeletal TCM Market - The aging population in China reached 202 million people aged 65 and above in 2023, leading to a rise in musculoskeletal disorders [2][18] - The penetration rate of musculoskeletal pain among the population aged 56 and above is 60.8%, while it is 42.2% among those aged 35 and below, indicating a younger demographic is increasingly affected [2][23] - The global pain management drug market is projected to reach $110.4 billion by 2030, with significant growth potential in China compared to markets in the US and Japan [2][28] 2. Structural Opportunities in Oral Medications - The oral TCM market is stable, with the top 10 products each generating sales below 1 billion yuan, indicating a lack of large-scale products [3][47] - Three innovative TCM products in the musculoskeletal field are expected to be approved and enter the national medical insurance directory from 2020 to 2024, which may lead to rapid market growth [3][53] - The basic drug policy aims to increase the usage of essential medicines, providing a competitive advantage for unique insurance products [3][69] 3. Expansion of External Patches - Compared to mature markets like Japan and South Korea, China's external patch market has significant room for growth, with external patches likely to gradually replace oral medications [3][30] - The concentration of external patches in public medical institutions and retail pharmacies is high, allowing leading companies to increase their market share [3][30] - Price increases are expected to continue driving growth in the external patch industry [3][32] 4. Investment Recommendations - Companies to watch include Fangsheng Pharmaceutical, Panlong Pharmaceutical, Lingrui Pharmaceutical, and Qizheng Tibetan Medicine, which have significant advantages in musculoskeletal TCM products [4]