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T-Mobile vs. AT&T: Which Telecom Stock is a Better Buy Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-20 17:21
Core Viewpoint - T-Mobile and AT&T are leading players in the U.S. telecommunications industry, each with distinct strategies and competitive advantages in the evolving market landscape [1][2][3]. T-Mobile Analysis - T-Mobile holds a strong position in the 5G market, with its network covering 98% of Americans, approximately 330 million people [4]. - The company has experienced significant postpaid customer growth and is enhancing its working capital management to improve free cash flow [4]. - T-Mobile is investing in network infrastructure to reduce outages and is collaborating with Starlink to introduce direct-to-cell service, aiming to expand its 5G offerings [6]. - The company has launched low-priced service plans to attract customers, which is leading to margin pressure due to intense competition from AT&T and Verizon [5]. - T-Mobile's sales and EPS estimates for 2025 indicate year-over-year growth of 5.91% and 9.27%, respectively, with EPS estimates improving by 1.44% over the past 60 days [11]. AT&T Analysis - AT&T is focusing on 5G and fiber investments, adapting its business model to market changes, and is seeing positive traction in its postpaid portfolio due to improved international roaming and higher-priced plans [7]. - The company is deploying an open radio access network (Open RAN) using Ericsson technology to enhance its network infrastructure and reduce reliance on non-U.S. vendors [7]. - AT&T's multi-access Edge Compute solution is designed to support low-latency applications, positioning the company competitively in the edge computing market [8]. - The sales growth estimate for AT&T in 2025 is projected at 1.5%, while EPS is expected to decline by 8.52%, with EPS estimates trending downward over the past 60 days [13]. Competitive Landscape - Both T-Mobile and AT&T face fierce competition from Verizon, impacting their growth potential in a saturated market [9]. - The spectrum crunch is a significant challenge for the U.S. telecom industry, complicating mobile data traffic management for all carriers [10]. - T-Mobile has outperformed AT&T in revenue and net income growth in recent quarters, driven by strong postpaid customer additions and an innovation-driven approach [17]. Investment Outlook - T-Mobile is currently rated as a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), while AT&T holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating a more favorable investment outlook for T-Mobile [16]. - T-Mobile's shares trade at a higher price/earnings ratio of 21.57 compared to AT&T's 13.13, reflecting market confidence in T-Mobile's growth prospects [15].