Core Insights - The S&P Global Flash Australia PMI Composite Output Index rose from 50.5 in May to 51.2 in June 2025, indicating accelerated growth in Australia's private sector, primarily driven by the service sector [1][2] - Manufacturing output also showed signs of recovery in June, although export orders significantly declined [1][2] - Business confidence improved in June, with an increase in employment numbers, while input costs and product prices saw a decrease, reaching the lowest level in over four and a half years [1] Economic Indicators - The June PMI data indicates that the private sector is expanding, as the index remains above the 50-point threshold [2] - The manufacturing PMI output index increased from 49.8 in May to 50.4 in June, while the services PMI rose from 50.6 to 51.3 [2] - The overall economic activity is supported by domestic demand, despite a notable contraction in export orders, marking the most significant decline in nearly a year [1][2] Future Outlook - Forward-looking indicators suggest that manufacturing output is expected to continue increasing, although there are significant differences in new orders and business confidence between manufacturing and services [1] - The rising uncertainty is particularly impacting the manufacturing sector, leading to expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia in the latter half of 2025 [2]