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青鸟消防(002960):Q2 整体业务稳中有韧性,结构向高价值倾斜
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-08-26 02:19
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company is expected to see revenue growth from 2025 to 2027, with projected revenues of 49.7 billion, 54.3 billion, and 59.8 billion RMB, representing year-on-year growth of 0.9%, 9.4%, and 10.0% respectively [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 4.7 billion, 6.0 billion, and 6.8 billion RMB for the same years, with year-on-year growth rates of 33.3%, 28.2%, and 12.3% respectively [3] Summary by Relevant Sections Performance Review - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 21.5 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 5.04% [9] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 12.67 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of -3.64% and -5.99% for Q1 and Q2 respectively [9] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the first half of 2025 was 1.59 billion RMB, down 16.06% year-on-year [9] Financial Forecasts - The company’s revenue for 2023 is projected at 49.72 billion RMB, with a growth rate of 8.02% [8] - The net profit for 2023 is expected to be 659 million RMB, reflecting a growth rate of 15.67% [8] - The diluted earnings per share for 2023 is estimated at 0.869 RMB [8] Product Segment Performance - The fire alarm and control systems generated revenue of 9.59 billion RMB, accounting for 44.58% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 45.65% [9] - The emergency lighting and intelligent evacuation systems had a revenue of 4.56 billion RMB, representing 21.2% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 17.43% [9] - The industrial fire products segment achieved a revenue of 1.33 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 46.59% [9] Cost and Expense Analysis - The operating expenses remained relatively stable, with a sales expense ratio of 13.42% and a management expense ratio of 7.43% for the first half of 2025 [9] - Research and development expenses accounted for 7.17% of total revenue in the same period [9] Market Sentiment - The market analysis indicates a strong "Buy" sentiment with a score of 1.00 based on recent reports [11][12]