现代电子商贸与园区服务
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振华科技:首次覆盖报告高可靠电子元器件筑基,军民电子需求支撑长期成长-20260203
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-03 00:25
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 71.40 CNY [5][11][15]. Core Insights - The company has a strong foothold in the defense technology industry, focusing on basic components and electronic functional materials, which are widely used in key national projects and civilian applications. The steady growth of the defense budget and demand from various downstream sectors support the company's resilience and growth potential [2][11][23]. - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 9.41 billion CNY, 11.14 billion CNY, and 11.78 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 1.70 CNY, 2.01 CNY, and 2.13 CNY [11][15]. - The company is positioned as a leading supplier of high-reliability electronic components, benefiting from a comprehensive product portfolio and strong system-level support capabilities [11][23]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to be 7,789 million CNY in 2023, with a decrease to 5,219 million CNY in 2024, followed by a gradual increase to 7,051 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.0% from 2025 to 2027 [4][17]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to decline to 970 million CNY in 2024, before recovering to 1,178 million CNY by 2027 [4][17]. - The company’s net asset return rate is expected to stabilize around 6.7% from 2026 onwards [4]. Business Overview - The company specializes in new electronic components, which accounted for nearly 100% of its revenue in 2024, highlighting its market dominance in this sector [35]. - The company’s product offerings include resistors, capacitors, integrated circuits, and electronic functional materials, which are essential for both military and civilian applications [23][31]. - The company is actively investing in R&D to enhance its product capabilities and maintain its competitive edge in high-reliability electronic components [11][33]. Industry Outlook - The electronic components industry is expected to continue expanding, driven by increasing demand across various sectors, including consumer electronics, automotive electronics, and industrial automation [39][43]. - The global electronic components market is projected to grow from 448.4 billion USD in 2026 to 870.93 billion USD by 2035, with a CAGR of 7.2% [43]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from structural growth opportunities in the electronic components sector, particularly in the context of rising defense budgets and advancements in technology [11][39].