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中国银行(601988):业绩改善 非息收入表现亮眼
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 00:32
Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 329 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.8%, with an acceleration of 1.2 percentage points compared to the first quarter and an increase of 2.6 percentage points compared to the full year of 2024 [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 117.6 billion yuan, showing a slight decline of 0.9% year-on-year, but the decline narrowed by 2.1 percentage points compared to the first quarter [1] - The annualized average return on total assets (ROA) was 0.70%, and the return on equity (ROE) was 9.11% [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - Net interest income decreased by 5.3% year-on-year, with the decline expanding by 0.8 percentage points compared to the first quarter [1] - Non-interest income showed strong performance, with fee income increasing by 9.2% year-on-year and other non-interest income rising by 42%, with respective growth rates improving by 7.1 and 4.7 percentage points compared to the first quarter [1] - Non-interest income accounted for 34.7% of total revenue, up 6.2 percentage points year-on-year [1] Asset and Liability Overview - Total assets reached 36.79 trillion yuan, with loans and deposits at 23.01 trillion yuan and 25.77 trillion yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 8.5%, 9.1%, and 8.5% [2] - The net interest margin was reported at 1.26%, down 18 basis points year-on-year, with a slight decline of 3 basis points compared to the first quarter [2] - The yield on interest-earning assets decreased by 48 basis points to 2.96%, while the interest rate on interest-bearing liabilities fell by 33 basis points to 1.86% [2] Asset Quality Assessment - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio stood at 1.24% at the end of June 2025, down 1 basis point from March [3] - The annualized NPL generation rate, after write-offs, was 0.62%, up 15 basis points year-on-year, with retail NPLs continuing to show exposure [3] - The provision coverage ratio was 198%, down 0.6 percentage points from March and 3.2 percentage points from the beginning of the year [3] Investment Outlook - The company's overall performance is in line with expectations, with profit forecasts for 2025-2027 set at 241.6 billion, 249.4 billion, and 267.3 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 1.6%, 3.2%, and 7.2% respectively [3] - The diluted EPS is projected to be 0.78, 0.80, and 0.86 yuan for the respective years, with current stock prices corresponding to PE ratios of 7.2, 7.0, and 6.5 times, and PB ratios of 0.64, 0.60, and 0.56 times [3]