甲醇制喷气燃料(MtJ)
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甲醇研究所:MtJ有望填补SAF需求缺口
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2026-02-02 03:18
Core Insights - The report by the Methanol Institute (MI) indicates that Methanol-to-Jet (MtJ) is expected to become a major contributor to Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) [1] - Global jet fuel demand is projected to increase by 50% by 2050, highlighting a growing gap between climate goals and the supply of low-cost low-carbon fuels [1] - Existing SAF production pathways are insufficient to meet total demand, while MtJ offers superior emissions performance, scalability, and cost advantages [1] Industry Overview - The global methanol industry currently has an annual production capacity exceeding 100 million tons, with renewable and low-carbon methanol capacity rapidly expanding [1] - The CEO of MI, Alexander Dorr, states that the core challenge for the aviation industry has shifted from validating SAF feasibility to rapidly scaling up production [1] - Clear market signals and policy direction in the coming years will be crucial for the development speed of MtJ [1] Environmental Impact - Renewable methanol-based MtJ can reduce lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions by 70% to 90% compared to traditional jet fuel [1] - MtJ is expected to achieve cost competitiveness with fossil jet fuel by 2040, given policy support [1] Future Projections - By 2026, MtJ is anticipated to achieve commercial aviation application, with efforts underway for ASTM international standard certification [1] - As of August 2025, the planned annual capacity for MtJ projects under construction is approximately 1.8 million tons, with over 60 million tons of renewable and low-carbon methanol capacity planned globally by 2030 [2] - China accounts for half of the global project total, followed by Europe and North America [2]