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莱克电气(603355):短期关税影响显著 全球供应链建设加速
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-30 12:32
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, but a significant decline in net profit, primarily due to the impact of U.S. tariffs on exports of automotive parts [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 4.781 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.65% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 428 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 29.01% - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 415 million yuan, down 30.01% year-on-year - In Q2 2025, revenue declined by 1.8% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 39.57% [1]. Impact of U.S. Tariffs - The company's performance was adversely affected by U.S. tariffs, particularly on automotive parts exports, leading to increased sales expenses - The sales expense ratio for the first half of the year was 5.21%, an increase of 0.97 percentage points year-on-year, with Q2 showing a rise of 0.81 percentage points - The company has reached an agreement with clients to share the burden of tariffs, which may provide some compensation in the second half of the year [2]. Overseas Expansion - The company has been shifting its ODM home appliance exports overseas, although the transition has incurred high costs and personnel expenses, squeezing profit margins - Rapid progress in building overseas supply chains is noted, with a new factory in Vietnam reaching full production in May 2025, expected to contribute over 4 million small appliances and 1.8 million motor capacities to meet U.S. demand - The automotive parts production base in Thailand is expected to be completed by Q3 2025, with an anticipated annual sales scale of 100 million USD - Total overseas investment amounts to approximately 150 million USD, with further production scale increases expected as new facilities come online [2]. Diversification in Automotive Parts Business - The automotive motor segment is diversifying its development by penetrating existing customers and breaking into high-end markets in Europe and the U.S. - The company is pursuing multiple technological paths, expanding into various motor types to avoid reliance on a single technology - In the first half of 2025, the automotive motor division developed six new customers and secured seven new project orders, with new business orders exceeding 400 million yuan [3]. Investment Outlook - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting revenues of 10.2 billion, 11.1 billion, and 12.4 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 4.4%, 9.2%, and 11.3% respectively - Projected net profits for the same period are 1.24 billion, 1.33 billion, and 1.49 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 1.1%, 7.39%, and 11.4% - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 2.17, 2.33, and 2.59 yuan, with current stock prices corresponding to P/E ratios of 11x, 10.3x, and 9.28x, maintaining a "recommended" rating [3].