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 均胜电子(600699):关注智驾和机器人新业务落地
 Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-02 08:28
 Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 15.5 billion yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 10.24% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 1.71%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 413 million yuan, up 35.40% year-over-year and 12.37% quarter-over-quarter. The company maintains a "buy" rating due to expected growth from new order deliveries and advancements in smart driving and robotics projects [1][4].   Group 1: Automotive Business - The automotive business continues to show steady growth with improving profitability, supported by high-margin new orders. Cost structure optimization through material cost reduction, capacity optimization, and supply chain efficiency has led to a significant recovery in gross margins in major overseas markets [2]. - The safety business is steadily growing, with an increasing proportion of high-margin orders, laying a foundation for future profit enhancement. In the electronics sector, the company has made breakthroughs in smart driving, central computing platforms, and intelligent cockpits, achieving record-high new orders in Q3 [2]. - The growth in smart driving-related orders is particularly notable, covering core functions such as highway navigation, parking assistance, and multi-sensor fusion. The company anticipates rapid growth in the next two years as mainstream automakers begin mass production of new platforms [2].   Group 2: Robotics Business - The company is expanding its "automotive + robotics Tier 1" positioning into the robotics industry chain, providing comprehensive solutions for domestic and international clients, thereby establishing a second growth curve. Key products include robot heads, chests, chassis, and limb assemblies, along with essential components like controllers and energy management modules [3]. - The company has developed significant advantages in the research, manufacturing, and industrialization of core robotics components and overall solutions, with major clients including leading domestic and overseas robotics companies [3].   Group 3: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to see steady growth in revenue and gross margins driven by new high-margin orders. Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are set at 64.0 billion, 70.79 billion, and 77.58 billion yuan, respectively, with net profit forecasts of 1.556 billion, 1.887 billion, and 2.185 billion yuan [4]. - Based on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation, the company assigns a premium to the automotive electronics business due to the anticipated rapid rollout of smart driving orders and a recovery in overseas business, resulting in a target price of 40.97 yuan [4].