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浙商中拓(000906):行业景气承压,能化业务增长亮眼
HTSC· 2025-04-24 09:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of 6.61 RMB [8][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 201.9 billion RMB and a net profit of 3.7 billion RMB for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 0.6% and 46.0% respectively. The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 50.73 billion RMB and a net profit of 1.9 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 13.7% but a decline of 21.2% in net profit [1]. - The energy and chemical business experienced significant growth, with a revenue increase of 107.3% to 32.99 billion RMB and a gross profit surge of 2558.8% to 690 million RMB in 2024. The sales volume of energy products rose by 157.3% [2]. - The black and non-ferrous supply chains faced challenges, with revenues of 137.91 billion RMB and 1.68 billion RMB respectively, showing a decline of 11.7% and an increase of 88.8%. Gross profit for the black supply chain dropped by 63.3% [3]. - The new business segment, focusing on recycled resources, saw a revenue decrease of 8.2% to 14.12 billion RMB, but gross profit increased by 41.0% to 240 million RMB [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s revenue is projected to reach 220.47 billion RMB in 2025, with a net profit forecast of 5.56 billion RMB, reflecting a decrease of 26.4% from previous estimates. The EPS is expected to be 0.79 RMB [5][7]. - The company’s revenue for 2024 is expected to be 201.9 billion RMB, with a slight decline of 0.57% compared to 2023 [7]. Business Segments - The energy and chemical supply chain is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with significant contributions from newly established teams [2]. - The black supply chain is facing a downturn, with a projected revenue drop due to weak demand [3]. - The new business segment is focusing on high-quality development in the recycled steel sector [4]. Valuation Metrics - The report assigns a PE ratio of 8.4x for 2025, aligning with industry averages, and sets a target price of 6.61 RMB, slightly above the previous estimate [5][9].