航旅纵横大数据显示，12月，中国境内到日本的计划航班中超四成航班取消，取消航班数量超1900个。 11月15日后赴日旅客量大幅下降，例如11月25日的旅客量比11月15日减少约23%，目前还在持续走低。 记者查询机票价格发现，12月赴日票价有所提高，以上海-大阪关西为例，不含税票价最低500元，但11 月15日时最低100元。 （文章来源：第一财经） ...

Group 1 - The number of ticket cancellations for flights to Japan has significantly increased, with reports indicating several tens of thousands of cancellations due to a free refund and rescheduling policy implemented by multiple domestic airlines [1][2] - The decline in traveler volume to Japan has been noted for three consecutive days, with major airlines offering free cancellation until December 31, 2025, in response to government advisories urging caution for Chinese citizens traveling to Japan [2][3] - Data shows that as of November 18, the total number of flight bookings to Japan has decreased by 543,000 compared to November 15, indicating over 500,000 ticket cancellations, with cancellations primarily affecting leisure travelers heading to second-tier cities in Japan [3][4] Group 2 - Domestic airlines are adjusting their flight schedules by canceling flights to Japan and reallocating capacity to destinations with higher demand, resulting in a weekly flight volume decline to Japan [4][6] - The average passenger load factor for flights to Japan has dropped, with a reported decrease of 12.3 percentage points on November 18 compared to the previous week, alongside a 10.8% decline in traveler volume [3][4] - There is a noticeable shift in traveler preferences towards warmer destinations, with significant increases in flight bookings to domestic locations like Hainan and Yunnan, as well as international destinations such as Bangkok and Singapore, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [6]

Core Insights - The recent increase in ticket cancellations for flights to Japan is attributed to a combination of seasonal factors and a new free cancellation policy implemented by multiple domestic airlines in response to government advisories [1][2][3] - The overall demand for travel to Japan has significantly decreased, with a reported drop of 54.3 million ticket orders since November 15, indicating over 500,000 cancellations [2] - Airlines are adjusting their flight schedules by canceling flights to Japan and reallocating capacity to destinations with higher demand, such as Southeast Asia and domestic warm-weather locations [3][5] Group 1: Ticket Cancellations and Policies - Several domestic airlines have announced free cancellation and rescheduling policies for flights to Japan, effective until December 31, 2025, following government advisories urging caution for travel to Japan [2] - Spring Airlines Japan has become the first Japanese airline to offer free cancellation for tickets purchased before November 15, 2025, for flights between November 15 and December 31, 2025 [2] Group 2: Market Trends and Adjustments - The average passenger load factor for flights to Japan has decreased, with a reported drop of 12.3 percentage points on November 18 compared to the previous week [2][3] - The number of weekly flights from mainland China to Japan has been declining, with a total of 1,189 flights recorded in the 45th week of the year, representing an 82.9% recovery rate compared to the same week in 2019 [3] - There is a notable shift in traveler preferences, with increased interest in warm-weather destinations such as Hainan, Yunnan, and Southeast Asia, as evidenced by a 13% year-on-year increase in domestic flight bookings to these regions [5]