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AI教育产业跟踪:多邻国2025Q2业绩超预期,国内AI教育有望迎来催化
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-08 01:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the AI education industry, indicating expected performance above the market benchmark by over 10% [2][3][32]. Core Insights - Duolingo's FY2025Q2 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue of $252 million, a year-on-year increase of 41%, and an adjusted EBITDA of $78.7 million, up 31.2% year-on-year, validating the profitability of AI education applications [4][5][8]. - The report highlights the positive sentiment in the domestic AI education sector driven by Duolingo's strong financial results, which are expected to catalyze domestic market enthusiasm [4][28]. - The collaboration between Duolingo and Luckin Coffee has significantly boosted consumer education in the domestic AI education market, with the product achieving over 9 million sales in its first week [4][11][28]. - The commercialization process of domestic AI education products is progressing well, with several products like DouShen Education's "Super Practice" series and Fenbi's AI question-answering system achieving significant sales milestones [4][15][18][28]. Summary by Sections Duolingo's Performance - Duolingo reported a DAU growth of 40% to 47.7 million and a MAU growth of 24% to 128 million, although these figures fell short of Bloomberg consensus expectations [5][8]. - The subscription conversion rate reached a historic high of 8.93%, with Duolingo Super and Duolingo Max services showing strong growth [6][8]. Domestic AI Education Developments - DouShen Education launched "Super Practice" products, achieving a GMV of 17.4 million by July 30, with strong sales driven by effective marketing strategies [15][16]. - Fenbi's AI question-answering system sold 50,000 sets, generating approximately 20 million in revenue, indicating strong demand for exam preparation solutions [18][19]. - Tianli International's AI education model has been implemented in 107 schools, benefiting 250,000 students, and has shown significant improvement in student performance [22][23][24]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the AI education sector, including DouShen Education, Fenbi, Tianli International, and others, as they are expected to benefit from the positive market sentiment and ongoing commercialization efforts [4][28].