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信安世纪(688201):Q2扭亏为盈近22年水平,若收入恢复有望体现利润高弹性
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-09-01 01:16
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [4] Core Views - The company achieved a turnaround in Q2, reporting a net profit of 0.1 billion yuan, marking a significant recovery compared to the previous year, driven by cost reduction and efficiency improvements [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the acceleration of domestic innovation and the high demand in cross-border payment services, leading to rapid growth in annual performance [2] - The issuance of convertible bonds indicates confidence in achieving a minimum net profit of 0.7 billion yuan for 2025, reinforcing the positive outlook for the company's performance [3] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.98 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.7%, with significant growth in the government sector [1] - Q2 revenue reached 1.23 billion yuan, up 6.86% year-on-year, with a net profit of 0.21 billion yuan, indicating a strong recovery [1] - The company expects revenues of 5.77 billion yuan, 6.84 billion yuan, and 8.13 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 1.19 billion yuan, 1.83 billion yuan, and 2.22 billion yuan [3] Financial Data and Valuation - The company’s financial metrics for 2023 to 2027 include projected revenues of 549.23 million yuan in 2023, declining to 500.56 million yuan in 2024, before recovering to 576.51 million yuan in 2025 [8] - The net profit is expected to fluctuate from 11.22 million yuan in 2023 to a loss of 47.82 million yuan in 2024, before rebounding to 118.52 million yuan in 2025 [8] - The company’s P/E ratio is projected to improve from 415.71 in 2023 to 21.02 by 2027, indicating a potential increase in profitability [8]