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首次盈利!Keep预告2025年度经调整净利润转正
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2026-02-25 06:50
Core Viewpoint - Keep has announced a significant improvement in its financial performance for the fiscal year 2025, projecting an adjusted net profit of approximately 25 million yuan, a turnaround from a loss of 469 million yuan in 2024, marking its first positive adjusted net profit since its IPO [2] Financial Performance - Keep's projected loss attributable to shareholders for 2025 is expected to be around 72 million yuan, a substantial reduction of approximately 87% compared to the previous year's loss of 535 million yuan [2] - From 2019 to 2024, Keep's adjusted net losses were 366.5 million yuan, 106.4 million yuan, 826.5 million yuan, 666.9 million yuan, 295.4 million yuan, and 469 million yuan, totaling over 2.7 billion yuan in adjusted losses over six years [2] Market Reaction - Following the profit forecast, Keep's stock opened higher on February 25, reaching a peak of 3.79 HKD, an increase of 6.76%, with trading volume steadily increasing as market expectations for profit improvement grew [2] Strategic Focus - The improvement in profitability is attributed to the company's strategic focus on AI development and business optimization, integrating AI technology throughout its operations to enhance content production efficiency and optimize human resource effectiveness [2] - Keep's gross margin across various business segments has steadily increased, supported by cost optimization measures including marketing, supply chain improvements, and administrative efficiency enhancements [2] Business Structure and Revenue Trends - Despite a reduction in revenue due to the strategic decision to cut low-efficiency businesses, Keep's operational fundamentals showed signs of improvement in the second half of 2025, with a narrowing revenue decline [3] - The company's proprietary fitness products performed well, with a significant recovery in the second half of the year, particularly in core fitness equipment, which saw over 20% year-on-year growth [3] Future Strategy - Keep plans to maintain a robust R&D investment ratio to support future growth and long-term competitiveness, focusing on two core pillars: enhancing AI capabilities and upgrading proprietary fitness products [4] Challenges and Transition - The turnaround to profitability is seen as a milestone following Keep's "All in AI" strategy announced in early 2025, which aims to leverage ten years of accumulated exercise data for online fitness [5] - Prior to this profitability breakthrough, Keep faced significant operational pressures, with adjusted net losses reaching 469 million yuan in 2024, a 59% year-on-year increase, and revenue slightly declining to 2.066 billion yuan [5] - The company experienced a decline in average monthly subscription members from 3.193 million to 3.162 million, indicating a decrease in input-output efficiency despite a 33.1% increase in sales and marketing expenses [6] - Some users reported discomfort with the new AI-driven version of the app, indicating potential challenges in user experience amidst the transition [6]