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大行评级丨瑞银:微升上海医药H股目标价至15港元 评级“买入”
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-03 07:32
Core Viewpoint - UBS report indicates that Shanghai Pharmaceuticals' revenue for the first three quarters reached 215.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.15 billion yuan, up 27% year-on-year. However, recurring net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 26.8% to 2.7 billion yuan, with Q3 revenue growth at 4.7% and net profit and recurring net profit down by 38.1% and 38.9% respectively, primarily due to asset/credit impairment losses, which the bank believes did not meet market expectations [1] Group 1 - Shanghai Pharmaceuticals' revenue for the first three quarters was 215.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.6% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 5.15 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 27% [1] - Recurring net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 26.8% to 2.7 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - In Q3, revenue grew by 4.7%, but net profit and recurring net profit fell by 38.1% and 38.9% respectively [1] - The decline in profits was mainly attributed to asset/credit impairment losses [1] - UBS believes the performance did not meet market expectations [1] Group 3 - Management stated that in the remaining time of 2025, the focus will be on the transformation of the industrial and commercial sectors, with the former emphasizing innovative drugs and traditional Chinese medicine, and the latter concentrating on CSO and innovative drug services [1] - UBS expects key traditional Chinese medicine products and the merger with Shanghai Henlius Pharmaceuticals (SHPL) to drive positive revenue growth in the industrial sector by 2025, while the commercial sector's growth rate is expected to continue to outpace the industry [1] Group 4 - UBS raised the earnings per share forecast for Shanghai Pharmaceuticals for 2025 by 7% to reflect one-time gains from the merger with SHPL [1] - However, earnings per share forecasts for 2026 and 2027 were lowered by 11% and 10% respectively, considering the slowdown in commercial business growth, increased impairment losses, and rising minority interests [1] - The target price for H-shares was adjusted from 14.5 HKD to 15 HKD, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]