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登康口腔(001328):2025年三季报点评:Q3业绩平稳增长,优化费投净利率表现稳健
Huachuang Securities· 2025-11-11 09:26
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, with a target price of 44.36 CNY per share [1][7]. Core Insights - The company reported steady growth in Q3 2025, with revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items reaching 3.9 billion, 0.5 billion, and 0.4 billion CNY respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 10.5%, 11.4%, and 11.0% [1]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 12.3 billion CNY, net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.4 billion CNY, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 1.1 billion CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.7%, 15.2%, and 19.8% respectively [1]. - The company is focusing on high-end product development, with a notable performance from the newly launched keratin toothpaste, which is positioned in the high-end gum care market [7]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 45.9%, a decrease of 8.0 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in the proportion of high-margin online sales channels [7]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 1,560 million CNY in 2024 to 2,453 million CNY by 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.4%, 17.8%, 16.0%, and 15.1% respectively [3]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 161 million CNY in 2024 to 294 million CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 14.1%, 19.5%, 23.9%, and 23.1% respectively [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.94 CNY in 2024 to 1.71 CNY in 2027 [3]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 40 times in 2024 to 22 times in 2027, indicating an improving valuation over time [3].