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Why QUBT Stock Is A Bad Buy: Complete Analysis
Forbes· 2025-10-24 09:20
Core Insights - Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT) experienced a 7% stock decline on October 22 due to broader market trends and uncertainties in U.S. technology export policies to China, followed by a recovery of 7% the next day [2] Financial Performance - QUBT reported an operating cash flow of negative $19 million against revenues of only $0.3 million, resulting in an OCF margin of negative 7,181% [5] - Revenue dropped 21.5% to $0.3 million over the past year, with quarterly revenue decreasing 66.7% to $61,000 in the latest quarter [6] - The company reported a net loss of $76 million, leading to a net income margin of negative 29,054%, indicating a loss of $290 for every dollar of revenue [9] Valuation Metrics - QUBT has a price-to-sales ratio of 8,790, significantly higher than the S&P 500's ratio of 3.2, suggesting extreme overvaluation [8] - The firm maintains a minimal debt load of $1.5 million, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.1%, with cash constituting 81.9% of total assets at $349 million [10] Market Behavior - QUBT's stock has shown weak resistance to market downturns, plummeting 93.1% during the inflation shock of 2022 and 72.9% during the COVID pandemic [12] - Recent performance indicates a 35% decline in just one week and a 26.5% drop over the last month as investors shift towards established tech firms [13] Future Outlook - Management suggests significant revenue from photonic chip operations may be "12 to 18 months away," but this remains uncertain [15] - Analysts have revised loss estimates for 2025, projecting losses ranging from 17 cents to 25 cents per share [15] Overall Assessment - QUBT is characterized by sluggish growth, poor profitability, and weak downturn resilience, trading at valuations disconnected from fundamental realities [16]