量子系统「Blue Jay」

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马斯克严峻提问:量子电脑能否破解比特币?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 07:24
Group 1 - Musk raises concerns about the long-term security of Bitcoin in the context of rapid advancements in quantum computing, specifically regarding the SHA-256 hash algorithm's vulnerability to powerful quantum computers [2][4] - IBM announced its next-generation quantum system "Blue Jay," which is expected to achieve 2000 qubits by 2033, intensifying competition in the quantum computing space [2][6] - Current quantum systems possess around 1000 qubits, significantly lower than the millions of error-correcting qubits needed to effectively break Bitcoin's encryption [4] Group 2 - Grok's analysis indicates that the risk of quantum computers breaking Bitcoin's encryption is near zero in the next five years, with a slight increase to below 10% by 2035 [2][4] - Deloitte's recent analysis suggests that approximately 25% of Bitcoin is at risk of being stolen through quantum attacks, highlighting the urgency for the Bitcoin network to adopt post-quantum cryptography [4] - Tesla holds 11,500 Bitcoins valued at approximately $1.3 billion, while SpaceX reportedly holds around $850 million in Bitcoin, indicating Musk's vested interest in addressing potential threats [6]