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株冶集团(600961):25年中报预增:冶炼端与矿山端向上共振
China Post Securities· 2025-07-10 06:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within six months [6][11]. Core Views - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 5.6 billion to 6.5 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 50.97% to 75.23% [3]. - The company has transitioned from primarily a lead-zinc smelting business to a resource-oriented company focused on mining profitability, with over 85% of total net profit coming from mining operations [5]. - The recovery of zinc smelting processing fees, which have risen from a historical low of 1200 yuan/ton to 3800 yuan/ton, is expected to significantly enhance the company's performance in 2025 [4]. Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 11.49 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 123 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 86 billion yuan [2]. - The company has a total share capital of 1.073 billion shares, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 50.8% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.41 [2]. Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 6.73 billion yuan for Water Mouth Mountain Nonferrous in 2024, a 64% increase from 4.11 billion yuan in 2023 [5]. - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 12.89 billion yuan, 13.52 billion yuan, and 14.59 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 63.83%, 4.93%, and 7.92% [7]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 0.73 yuan in 2024 to 1.36 yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [9][10].