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南山智尚(300918):25H1传统业务短期承压,超高+锦纶业务有望贡献未来增长
Great Wall Securities· 2025-09-16 13:19
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock over the next six months [5]. Core Viewpoints - The company's traditional business is under short-term pressure, but the ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene and nylon businesses are expected to contribute to future growth [1][12]. - The company has successfully launched its nylon products into the market, focusing on high-end apparel and functional textiles [10][12]. - The financial forecast shows a slight decline in revenue and profit for 2023, with expectations of recovery and growth in subsequent years, particularly in 2026 and 2027 [1][12]. Financial Summary - **Revenue**: Expected to grow from 1,600 million CNY in 2023 to 2,512 million CNY by 2027, with a CAGR of approximately 25% from 2025 to 2027 [1]. - **Net Profit**: Projected to increase from 203 million CNY in 2023 to 294 million CNY in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 27% in 2027 [1]. - **EPS**: Expected to rise from 0.47 CNY in 2023 to 0.68 CNY in 2027, reflecting a positive trend in earnings per share [1][12]. - **P/E Ratio**: Forecasted to decrease from 50.7 in 2023 to 35.0 in 2027, indicating a potential increase in valuation attractiveness [1][12]. Product Performance - **Nylon Products**: Achieved revenue of 73 million CNY with a gross margin of 7.91%, focusing on high-value, differentiated products for high-end apparel [2][10]. - **Ultra-High Fiber Products**: Revenue increased by 2.61% to 88 million CNY, with a significant gross margin improvement of 12.98 percentage points [2]. - **Woolen Products**: Revenue declined by 16.15% to 342 million CNY, but the gross margin improved slightly [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on high-quality positioning in its woolen products, utilizing premium raw materials and innovative design to meet luxury market demands [3][12]. - The ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene fiber is a strategic focus, with an annual production capacity of 3,600 tons, aimed at various applications including robotics and protective gear [9][12]. - The company has launched a new generation of tactile smart gloves in collaboration with strategic partners, enhancing its product offerings in the robotics sector [11][12].