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智能眼镜系列:传统到智能,镜片制造龙头有望提份额
Changjiang Securities· 2025-08-03 08:04
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Insights - The report focuses on the traditional lens industry and the emerging trend of smart glasses, highlighting the growth potential for light industry companies [2][8] - The traditional lens market in China is expanding steadily, with youth defocus lenses rapidly gaining market share as a mature myopia treatment solution [6][25] - Smart glasses are positioned to "free hands," with technology and ecosystem maturing, supported by favorable policies [8][44] Summary by Sections Traditional Lenses - **Scale**: The lens industry in China is continuously expanding, with a 5-year CAGR of approximately 5% for retail revenue, 3% for volume, and 2% for average price from 2019 to 2024. The retail revenue is projected to reach 38.2 billion yuan in 2024 [6][16] - **Structure**: Youth defocus lenses are rapidly increasing in market share, with a projected retail sales revenue of 16 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 42% of total lens sales [25][28] - **Pattern**: Domestic manufacturers lead in production, with foreign brands maintaining a premium. The largest domestic supplier is 康耐特光学, holding an 8.5% market share [7][31] - **Channels**: Sales are primarily through offline optical stores and e-commerce, with offline stores accounting for 73% of sales in 2024 [35][38] Smart Glasses - **Market Potential**: The smart glasses market is expected to grow significantly, with global sales projected to reach 5.5 million units in 2025 and 90 million units by 2030 [8][47] - **Manufacturing**: Smart glasses require higher technical specifications for lenses, particularly XR lenses, which presents an opportunity for leading domestic manufacturers to increase their market share [48][50] - **Distribution**: Offline retail channels are crucial for smart glasses, with major players like 博士眼镜 leading in store numbers [48][50] Weekly Insights - The report notes strong performance in sectors like trendy toys, personal care, and export chains, with a clear trend in the new tobacco industry and stable performance in home and packaging sectors [9][51]