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Unveiling TransDigm (TDG) Q2 Outlook: Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-01 14:20
Core Viewpoint - Analysts expect TransDigm Group (TDG) to report quarterly earnings of $8.85 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 10.8%, with revenues projected at $2.17 billion, up 12.9% from the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, there has been a downward revision of 1% in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter, indicating a collective reconsideration by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Net sales to external customers- Non-aviation' at $46.65 million, indicating a year-over-year change of +1.4% [5]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Airframe' are projected to reach $1.10 billion, reflecting a +14.3% change from the prior-year quarter [5]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Power & Control' are expected to be $1.04 billion, with a year-over-year change of +14.1% [6]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Airframe- Commercial and non-aerospace OEM' are estimated at $346.21 million, indicating a +12.4% change [6]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Airframe- Defense' is projected at $328.12 million, reflecting a +4.2% change [7]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Power & Control- Defense' is expected to reach $442.99 million, indicating a +5% change [7]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Power & Control- Commercial and non-aerospace aftermarket' is projected at $327.62 million, with a significant year-over-year change of +62.2% [8]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Power & Control- Commercial and non-aerospace OEM' is expected to be $210.91 million, reflecting a -27.3% change [8]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Airframe- Commercial and non-aerospace aftermarket' is projected at $401.97 million, indicating a +19.6% change [9]. EBITDA Estimates - Analysts forecast 'EBITDA- Power & Control' to reach $589.29 million, compared to $519 million from the previous year [9]. - 'EBITDA- Non-aviation' is expected to be $17.78 million, down from $20 million year-over-year [9]. - 'EBITDA- Airframe' is projected at $537.98 million, compared to $510 million from the prior year [10]. Stock Performance - TransDigm shares have shown a return of +1% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -0.7% change, indicating a potential alignment with overall market performance [11].