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机构预测:中国生成式AI相关网络硬件支出未来五年将从65亿元增至330亿元
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-08-15 05:42
Core Insights - The commercial deployment of large models in China is expected to experience explosive growth in the second half of 2024, with daily token consumption increasing nearly tenfold compared to previous levels [1] - The total token usage for public cloud large model calls in China is projected to reach 114.2 trillion tokens in 2024, excluding calls made through overseas MaaS platforms [1] Group 1: Token Consumption and Growth - Daily token consumption in China surged from 100 billion at the beginning of 2024 to over 30 trillion by the end of June, marking a growth of over 300 times in just 18 months [1] - The rapid increase in token usage is leading to significant growth in east-west traffic and rising communication energy consumption, which is becoming a critical bottleneck for AI infrastructure [1] Group 2: High-End Network Hardware Market - The high-end network hardware market is experiencing rapid development, with shipments of high-end Ethernet ports (≥200G) in China expected to exceed 6 million in 2024 [1] - It is forecasted that the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for high-end Ethernet port shipments will be 45.6%, with shipments projected to surpass 43 million by 2029 [1] - Spending on network hardware related to generative AI in China is anticipated to grow from 6.5 billion in 2023 to 33 billion by 2028, reflecting a CAGR of 38.5% [1]
机构预测:中国生成式AI相关网络硬件支出将从2023年的65亿元增加到2028年的330亿元
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-08-15 03:54
Core Insights - The rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) across various sectors is enhancing efficiency and innovation in both business decision-making and personal digital assistance [1] - The demand for AI is significantly increasing the consumption of tokens in China, with a projected daily usage growth of nearly 10 times by the second half of 2024 [1] Group 1: AI Adoption and Impact - AI applications are being integrated into various industries to improve operational efficiency and user experience [1] - The total token consumption for public cloud large models in China is expected to reach 114.2 trillion tokens in 2024, excluding usage from overseas MaaS platforms [1] Group 2: Infrastructure Challenges - The surge in token usage is creating new demands on digital infrastructure, particularly in data centers, where communication energy consumption is rising [1] - The traditional upgrade logic of "compute first, then network" is becoming obsolete, necessitating a shift in network planning to accommodate high bandwidth, reliability, and low energy consumption [1] Group 3: Market Projections - The shipment volume of high-end Ethernet ports (≥200G) in China is projected to exceed 6 million in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 45.6%, reaching over 43 million by 2029 [1] - Spending on network hardware related to generative AI in China is forecasted to grow from 6.5 billion yuan in 2023 to 33 billion yuan by 2028, with a CAGR of 38.5% [1]