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高镍及中镍高电压多元正极材料
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中国三元材料企业“借韩入美”
高工锂电· 2025-03-13 11:03
Core Viewpoint - Chinese ternary materials are expected to see significant global market expansion through Korean companies between 2025 and 2027, particularly in the North American market [1][2]. Group 1: Recent Developments - Korean battery manufacturers have recently signed orders with Chinese ternary material companies, indicating a growing collaboration in the industry [2]. - On March 10, 2023, Dangsheng Technology announced a long-term supply agreement with LG Energy Solution (LGES) to supply 110,000 tons of high-nickel and medium-nickel high-voltage multi-element positive electrode materials from 2025 to 2027, with a contract value of approximately 14 billion yuan [2]. - This agreement is expected to deepen Dangsheng Technology's integration into the supply chains of major automotive companies like Tesla, General Motors, and Volkswagen [3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The global power battery market is undergoing structural adjustments, with ternary materials facing dual pressures. The installation volume of lithium iron phosphate batteries is continuously increasing, projected to reach 29 GWh by January 2025, a year-on-year growth of 34% [4]. - Major international automakers are increasingly opting for square lithium iron phosphate batteries for their electric vehicles, which is squeezing the market space for ternary materials in mid-to-low-end models [4]. - The U.S. has imposed tariffs on the Chinese battery supply chain, with comprehensive tariffs on lithium batteries reaching 48.4%, which is pushing Korean battery companies to accelerate their market share in the U.S. [4]. Group 3: Future Opportunities - Chinese ternary material companies are positioned to benefit from the increased market share of Korean companies in the U.S. through indirect access via LGES and SK On [5]. - Despite current operational pressures, high-nickel ternary materials remain essential for long-range electric vehicles and new technologies like solid-state batteries [5]. - LGES has secured a five-year battery supply agreement with U.S. electric vehicle manufacturer Rivian, providing 4,695 cylindrical batteries specifically for Rivian's R2 model [5]. Group 4: Production Capacity Expansion - Dangsheng Technology's joint venture in Finland plans a total capacity of 500,000 tons, including 200,000 tons of high-nickel multi-element materials and 300,000 tons of lithium iron phosphate, with the first phase of 60,000 tons of high-nickel production expected to commence in 2026 [5]. - Rongbai Technology has established multiple production bases globally, including a 20,000 tons/year positive electrode material and a 6,000 tons/year precursor capacity in South Korea, with further expansions planned [6]. - Rongbai Technology has completed the registration of its North American subsidiary and is advancing site selection for a factory in the North American region [7].