1.6T optical transceivers

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高盛:中际旭创-增长再次加速;第二季度净利润中点为 24 亿元人民币,环比增长 79%;买入
Goldman Sachs· 2025-07-16 15:25
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Innolight with an updated 12-month target price (TP) of Rmb182, increased from Rmb160 [1][4]. Core Insights - Innolight's net profit for Q2 reached Rmb2.4 billion, marking a 79% year-over-year increase and a 53% quarter-over-quarter increase, indicating a re-acceleration in growth [1]. - The company anticipates strong demand for its products, particularly in the 800G and 1.6T segments, driven by cloud service providers and AI applications [2][11]. - Margin expansion is attributed to a better product mix and improved yields, contributing significantly to the strong Q2 performance [3][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue estimates for 2025E-2027E have been revised up by 6% to 12%, and net profit estimates have been increased by 12% to 22% following better-than-expected Q2 results [4][8]. - The gross margin is projected to improve to 40.1% in 2025E, up from a previous estimate of 38.5% [8]. Demand Outlook - The company has reaffirmed a strong demand outlook from US cloud service providers for 800G products heading into the second half of 2025 and 2026, with some customers increasing orders to support AI applications [2][11]. - Innolight plans to expand its production capacity in Thailand to meet the anticipated demand [2]. Margin Improvement - The report highlights that margin improvement is driven by a shift towards higher-margin products such as 800G/1.6T optical transceivers and silicon photonics modules [3][10]. - The company is experiencing better yields, which further supports margin expansion [3]. Competitive Position - Innolight is positioned as a leading supplier in the optical transceiver market, particularly benefiting from the growth in AI and data center expansions [10][11]. - The company's strong execution in ramping up capacity and developing new products is seen as a key competitive advantage [11][13].
高盛:新易盛_ 二季度净利润中点 23.8 亿元,环比增 340%,超预期;买入评级
Goldman Sachs· 2025-07-16 00:55
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Eoptolink is "Buy" with an updated 12-month target price (TP) of Rmb195, increased from Rmb177 [1][10][17]. Core Views - Eoptolink is positioned to benefit from the ramp-up of 400G/800G optical transceivers, driven by key customers' deployments in AI infrastructure expected in 2025 [17]. - The company's strong second-quarter performance, with a net profit of Rmb2.38 billion, represents a 340% year-over-year increase and a 51% quarter-over-quarter increase, exceeding expectations [1][2]. - Eoptolink's valuation is currently at a discount of approximately 20% compared to its larger peer Innolight, which is expected to converge as both companies share similar net profit growth outlooks [2][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Eoptolink's 2Q net profit was Rmb2.38 billion, significantly above the guidance range of Rmb2.13 billion to Rmb2.63 billion, driven by strong 800G shipments and margin expansion [1]. - Revenue estimates for 2025-2027 have been revised upwards by 6% to 14%, and net profit estimates have been increased by 9% to 20% following the better-than-expected 2Q results [10][11]. Market Position - Eoptolink is a key player in the optical transceiver market in China, with products that include up to 1.6T optical transceivers [17]. - The stock has underperformed relative to peers recently, but the strong profit beat is expected to act as a catalyst for share price recovery [3][2]. Valuation Metrics - The current 12-month forward P/E for Eoptolink is seen as attractive in a historical context, with expectations for further convergence in valuation with Innolight [8][10]. - The updated target price of Rmb195 is based on a 17x multiple of the 2026 estimated earnings [10][17].