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160km/h动力集中型动车组
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轨交设备跟踪点评:动车组第二次招标超预期,中车产业链受益
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the rail transit equipment sector [4]. Core Insights - The recent tender for high-speed trains exceeded market expectations, with a total of 210 sets planned for procurement, marking the highest single tender volume in the past five years [4]. - The total number of high-speed train tenders for 2025 has reached 278 sets, surpassing the total of 264 sets from the previous year, suggesting a more optimistic outlook for the annual tender volume [4]. - The increase in passenger volume and the need for advanced repairs on existing trains are driving the demand for new train sets, with railway passenger volume reaching 2.691 billion people from January to July, a year-on-year increase of 6.7% [4]. - The aging of the first batch of high-speed trains, which are approaching their design lifespan of 20 years, indicates a significant upcoming demand for replacements [4]. - The report highlights key beneficiaries in the supply chain, recommending companies such as CRRC Corporation (for complete trains and core components) and others involved in various components of train manufacturing [4]. Summary by Sections Tender Details - The tender includes 108 sets of standard high-speed trains, 30 sets of cold-weather trains, and 72 sets of longer trains, totaling 210 sets [4]. Market Outlook - Historical trends suggest that there will likely be additional tenders in the second half of the year, including for different types of trains, which could further increase the total tender volume [4]. Demand Drivers - The rapid growth in passenger traffic and the need for repairs on existing trains are key factors driving the demand for new train sets [4]. Replacement Needs - The first generation of high-speed trains is nearing the end of its operational lifespan, creating a pressing need for new trains [4]. Recommended Companies - The report recommends focusing on key suppliers such as CRRC Corporation, Sifang Co., and others involved in various components of the rail transit equipment industry [4].