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源杰科技(688498):Q1业绩环比扭亏 毛利率持续向好
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:40
Core Viewpoint - The company shows strong revenue growth in 2024 but reports a net loss, while the first quarter of 2025 indicates a recovery with positive net profit, highlighting potential in the AI era [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue reached 252 million, a year-on-year increase of 74.63%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -6 million, a decrease of 131.49% [1]. - For Q1 2025, revenue was 84 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 40.52%, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was 14 million, up 35.93% year-on-year, indicating a return to profitability [1]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 33%, down 9 percentage points, primarily due to intensified competition in the telecom market; however, Q1 2025 saw a gross margin of 45%, up 10 percentage points, attributed to an increase in data center business revenue [2]. Business Segments - The telecom market segment generated 202 million in revenue for 2024, a 52% increase, driven by the recovery in downstream market demand such as fiber access [1]. - The data center and other business segments reported revenue of 48 million, a staggering increase of 919%, due to successful expansion and mass production of CW silicon photonic products [1]. Cost Management - The company maintained good cost control, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios for 2024 at 7.35%, 10.32%, and 21.62%, respectively, showing a mixed trend with sales and management expenses increasing while R&D expenses slightly decreased [2]. Market Position and Future Outlook - As a leading domestic manufacturer of optical chips, the company is expected to benefit from the ongoing growth in AI computing power, with demand for high-speed optical modules likely to continue rising [2]. - The company anticipates further growth in revenue and gross margin as the output of CW light sources for high-speed silicon optical modules increases, with new high-end optical chip products expected to contribute to future performance [2]. Rating and Valuation - The company maintains a "buy" rating despite adjusting the net profit forecasts for 2025-2026 due to increased competition in the telecom market, with new estimates of 107 million, 179 million, and 265 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3]. - The target price is set at 136.32, based on a 110 times PE ratio for 2025, reflecting the company's leading position in high-end optical communication chips [3].