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MRVL's Custom Silicon Business Scales Up: What's Coming Next?
ZACKS· 2026-01-02 15:01
Core Insights - Marvell Technology's AI XPU offerings are gaining significant traction among hyperscalers, AI data centers, and high-performance computing workloads, with data center revenues reaching $1.52 billion in Q3 FY26, a 37.8% year-over-year increase [1][10] Group 1: Revenue and Growth - The custom silicon business is expected to contribute approximately 25% of overall data center revenues and is projected to grow at least 20% next year [2] - Marvell has announced 18 XPU and XPU-attach socket design wins, many of which are already in volume production, contributing to a revenue pipeline exceeding 10% of a $75 billion lifetime revenue funnel [3][10] Group 2: Technology and Competitive Position - Marvell develops custom ASIC designs for AI and cloud data center customers using advanced 5nm and 3nm processes, which include various high-speed SerDes technologies, positioning the company ahead of competitors in the custom AI silicon market [4] - Marvell's deep partnership with NVIDIA provides essential support to maintain its competitive edge against other players like Broadcom and Advanced Micro Devices [7] Group 3: Valuation and Earnings Estimates - Marvell Technology's shares have increased by 13.1% over the past six months, compared to the Electronics - Semiconductors industry's growth of 22.3% [8] - The company is trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 7.31X, which is lower than the industry's average of 8.46X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Marvell's fiscal 2026 and 2027 earnings indicates year-over-year growth of 81% and 26%, respectively, with upward revisions in estimates over the past 30 days [12]
MRVL's Modular Packaging Tech: Can it Transform AI Accelerators?
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 17:26
Core Insights - Marvell Technology is advancing its semiconductor technology by utilizing 5nm and 3nm CMOS technologies and is transitioning to 2nm and below, incorporating innovations such as gate-all-around transistors and backside power delivery [1] - The company is enhancing its packaging capabilities with modular redistribution layer (RDL) interposer technology, which allows for the development of larger multi-die AI accelerator solutions [2][3] - Marvell anticipates significant growth in the data center semiconductor market, projecting a total addressable market of $94 billion by 2028, with accelerated custom compute offerings expected to reach $55.4 billion at a CAGR of 53% from 2023 to 2028 [4][10] Technology and Innovation - The RDL interposer technology provides shorter die-to-die connections, reducing latency and improving power efficiency, while also allowing for the seamless replacement of defective dies, which lowers costs and increases yields [3] - This technology is compatible with HBM3/3E and XPU-type chips, and is expected to be qualified for the upcoming HBM-4 [3] Competitive Landscape - Competitors such as Broadcom and Advanced Micro Devices are also active in the custom silicon solutions and AI accelerator space, with Broadcom's semiconductor segment growing 11% year over year [5][6] - Despite the competition, Marvell's advancements in 2.5D packaging and modular RDL interposer technology position it favorably in the market [7] Financial Performance and Valuation - Marvell's shares have decreased by 34.5% year to date, contrasting with the 15% growth of the Electronics - Semiconductors industry [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 7.02X, which is lower than the industry's average of 8.72X [12] - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2026 and 2027 indicate year-over-year growth of 77.7% and 27.73%, respectively, with recent upward revisions [13]
MRVL's Margin Pressure Mounts as AI Revenues Rise: Is it Sustainable?
ZACKS· 2025-07-03 16:31
Core Insights - Marvell Technology (MRVL) is experiencing significant revenue growth driven by custom AI silicon chips, particularly among hyperscalers, despite facing inconsistent gross margins and a long-term declining trend [1][4]. Revenue Growth - The robust top-line growth is attributed to the strong demand for custom AI XPUs, electro-optics solutions, and custom high bandwidth memory chips, which enhance performance and bandwidth for custom AI servers [2][9]. - Marvell's revenues are rising due to the increasing demand for these custom AI solutions [9]. Gross Margin Trends - Marvell's non-GAAP gross margin has declined by 260 basis points year-over-year and 30 basis points sequentially to 59.8% in Q1 of fiscal 2026, with projections for Q2 of fiscal 2026 indicating a range of 59% to 60%, lower than the previous year's 61.9% [4]. - The higher manufacturing costs associated with AI silicon are contributing to the continued decline in gross margin [3][9]. Competitive Landscape - Marvell faces significant competitive pressure from Broadcom (AVGO) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) in the custom silicon solutions market [5][9]. - Broadcom's semiconductor segment, which includes custom silicon solutions, grew by 11% year-over-year in Q1 of fiscal 2025, highlighting the competitive environment [6]. - AMD's custom silicon solutions and AI accelerators are widely used in data centers, further intensifying competition [7]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Marvell's shares have decreased by 32.2% year-to-date, contrasting with the Electronics - Semiconductors industry's growth of 13.3% [8]. - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 7.23X, which is lower than the industry average of 8.63X [10]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Marvell's fiscal 2026 and 2027 earnings suggests year-over-year growth of 77.7% and 27.73%, respectively, with upward revisions in estimates over the past 30 days [11].