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小米集团-W:智能手机出货份额重回国内第一,单季营收、经调整净利润再创新高-20250529
EBSCN· 2025-05-29 07:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group [6] Core Views - Xiaomi Group achieved a record high quarterly revenue of 111.3 billion RMB in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 47.4% and a Non-IFRS net profit of 10.7 billion RMB, up 64.5% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 9.6% [1][5] Summary by Sections Smartphone Business - In Q1 2025, Xiaomi's smartphone shipments reached 41.8 million units globally, a 3% year-on-year increase, with a market share of 18.8% in China, up 4.7 percentage points year-on-year, marking a return to the top position in the domestic market [2] - The average selling price (ASP) of Xiaomi smartphones increased to 1211 RMB, reflecting a 5.8% year-on-year and 0.7% quarter-on-quarter growth, driven by government subsidies and a higher proportion of high-ASP domestic shipments [2] - The gross margin for the smartphone business improved to 12.4%, up from 12.0% in Q4 2024, primarily due to an improved product mix in overseas markets [2] IoT and Internet Services - IoT revenue reached 32.3 billion RMB in Q1 2025, with a remarkable year-on-year growth of 59%, driven by a 113.8% increase in smart home appliance revenue [3] - Internet services revenue grew by 13% year-on-year to 9.1 billion RMB, with advertising revenue increasing by 20%, contributing to the overall growth of the internet business [3] Automotive and AI Innovations - The newly integrated "Smart Electric Vehicles and AI Innovations" business generated 18.6 billion RMB in revenue in Q1 2025, with a gross margin of 23.2% [4] - The delivery volume of Xiaomi's vehicles increased to 75,869 units, an 8.9% quarter-on-quarter rise, with the ASP of vehicles rising to 238,000 RMB [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report raises the Non-IFRS net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 46.4 billion RMB and 65.6 billion RMB, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 set at 84.9 billion RMB [5] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 492.9 billion RMB, with a growth rate of 34.7% [9]