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高频选股因子周报(20250519- 20250523):高频因子表现有所分化,大单与买入意愿因子明显反弹, AI 增强组合继续强势表现-20250525
Quantitative Models and Construction Methods Quantitative Factors and Their Construction 1. **Factor Name**: Intraday Skewness Factor **Construction Idea**: Captures the skewness of intraday stock returns to identify potential return asymmetry[3][6] **Construction Process**: Referenced in the report "Stock Selection Factor Series Research (19) - High-Frequency Factors on Stock Return Distribution Characteristics"[11] **Evaluation**: Demonstrates mixed performance with positive returns in some periods but underperformance in others[3][6] 2. **Factor Name**: Downside Volatility Proportion Factor **Construction Idea**: Measures the proportion of downside volatility in intraday price movements to assess risk[3][6] **Construction Process**: Referenced in the report "Stock Selection Factor Series Research (25) - High-Frequency Factors on Realized Volatility Decomposition"[16] **Evaluation**: Shows consistent positive returns in certain periods but limited robustness in others[3][6] 3. **Factor Name**: Post-Open Buy Intention Proportion Factor **Construction Idea**: Quantifies the proportion of buy orders after market open to gauge investor sentiment[3][6] **Construction Process**: Referenced in the report "Stock Selection Factor Series Research (64) - Low-Frequency Applications of High-Frequency Data Using Intuitive Logic and Machine Learning"[20] **Evaluation**: Exhibits moderate performance with occasional strong returns[3][6] 4. **Factor Name**: Post-Open Buy Intention Intensity Factor **Construction Idea**: Measures the intensity of buy orders after market open to reflect market momentum[3][6] **Construction Process**: Referenced in the report "Stock Selection Factor Series Research (64) - Low-Frequency Applications of High-Frequency Data Using Intuitive Logic and Machine Learning"[24] **Evaluation**: Performance is inconsistent, with periods of underperformance[3][6] 5. **Factor Name**: Post-Open Large Order Net Buy Proportion Factor **Construction Idea**: Tracks the proportion of large net buy orders after market open to identify institutional activity[3][6] **Construction Process**: Derived from high-frequency trading data[30] **Evaluation**: Generally positive performance with strong returns in specific periods[3][6] 6. **Factor Name**: Post-Open Large Order Net Buy Intensity Factor **Construction Idea**: Measures the intensity of large net buy orders after market open to capture market trends[3][6] **Construction Process**: Derived from high-frequency trading data[35] **Evaluation**: Mixed results with moderate returns in some periods[3][6] 7. **Factor Name**: Improved Reversal Factor **Construction Idea**: Enhances traditional reversal factors by incorporating high-frequency data[3][6] **Construction Process**: Derived from intraday price reversals[40] **Evaluation**: Limited performance improvement over traditional reversal factors[3][6] 8. **Factor Name**: Tail-End Trading Proportion Factor **Construction Idea**: Measures the proportion of trading activity near market close to capture end-of-day effects[3][6] **Construction Process**: Derived from high-frequency trading data[45] **Evaluation**: Underperformance in most periods[3][6] 9. **Factor Name**: Average Single Transaction Outflow Proportion Factor **Construction Idea**: Tracks the proportion of outflows in single transactions to assess liquidity[3][6] **Construction Process**: Derived from high-frequency trading data[50] **Evaluation**: Limited effectiveness in predicting returns[3][6] 10. **Factor Name**: Large Order Push-Up Factor **Construction Idea**: Measures the impact of large orders on price increases to identify market movers[3][6] **Construction Process**: Derived from high-frequency trading data[55] **Evaluation**: Moderate performance with occasional strong returns[3][6] 11. **Factor Name**: Deep Learning High-Frequency Factor (Improved GRU(50,2)+NN(10)) **Construction Idea**: Combines GRU and neural networks to capture complex patterns in high-frequency data[3][6] **Construction Process**: Utilizes GRU(50,2) and NN(10) architectures for feature extraction and prediction[59] **Evaluation**: Strong performance in certain periods but underperformance in others[3][6] 12. **Factor Name**: Deep Learning High-Frequency Factor (Residual Attention LSTM(48,2)+NN(10)) **Construction Idea**: Incorporates residual attention mechanisms with LSTM and neural networks for enhanced prediction[3][6] **Construction Process**: Utilizes LSTM(48,2) and NN(10) architectures with residual attention layers[61] **Evaluation**: Consistently strong performance across multiple periods[3][6] 13. **Factor Name**: Deep Learning Factor (Multi-Granularity Model - 5-Day Label) **Construction Idea**: Uses multi-granularity modeling with 5-day labels for short-term predictions[3][6] **Construction Process**: Trained using bidirectional AGRU[64] **Evaluation**: Strong performance with high returns in most periods[3][6] 14. **Factor Name**: Deep Learning Factor (Multi-Granularity Model - 10-Day Label) **Construction Idea**: Uses multi-granularity modeling with 10-day labels for medium-term predictions[3][6] **Construction Process**: Trained using bidirectional AGRU[65] **Evaluation**: Consistently strong performance across multiple periods[3][6] AI-Enhanced Portfolio Construction 1. **Portfolio Name**: CSI 500 AI Enhanced Wide Constraint Portfolio **Construction Idea**: Maximizes expected returns under wide constraints using deep learning factors[69][70] **Construction Process**: - Weekly rebalancing - Constraints on individual stocks, industries, market cap, and other factors - Objective function: $$ max\sum\mu_{i}w_{i} $$ where \( w_i \) is the weight of stock \( i \) and \( \mu_i \) is its expected excess return[71] **Evaluation**: Strong cumulative excess returns since 2017[72] 2. **Portfolio Name**: CSI 500 AI Enhanced Strict Constraint Portfolio **Construction Idea**: Similar to the wide constraint portfolio but with stricter constraints[69][70] **Construction Process**: Same as above with stricter constraints on market cap, ROE, SUE, and volatility[71] **Evaluation**: Moderate cumulative excess returns since 2017[73] 3. **Portfolio Name**: CSI 1000 AI Enhanced Wide Constraint Portfolio **Construction Idea**: Maximizes expected returns under wide constraints using deep learning factors for smaller-cap stocks[69][70] **Construction Process**: Same as CSI 500 portfolios but applied to CSI 1000 index[71] **Evaluation**: Strong cumulative excess returns since 2017[76] 4. **Portfolio Name**: CSI 1000 AI Enhanced Strict Constraint Portfolio **Construction Idea**: Similar to the wide constraint portfolio but with stricter constraints for smaller-cap stocks[69][70] **Construction Process**: Same as above with stricter constraints on market cap, ROE, SUE, and volatility[71] **Evaluation**: Strong cumulative excess returns since 2017[79] Backtest Results for Factors 1. **Intraday Skewness Factor**: IC (2025): 0.057, Multi-Period Returns: 14.35% (2025)[3][6] 2. **Downside Volatility Proportion Factor**: IC (2025): 0.055, Multi-Period Returns: 11.77% (2025)[3][6] 3. **Post-Open Buy Intention Proportion Factor**: IC (2025): 0.033, Multi-Period Returns: 10.32% (2025)[3][6] 4. **Post-Open Buy Intention Intensity Factor**: IC (2025): 0.026, Multi-Period Returns: 11.19% (2025)[3][6] 5. **Post-Open Large Order Net Buy Proportion Factor**: IC (2025): 0.039, Multi-Period Returns: 12.32% (2025)[3][6] 6. **Post-Open Large Order Net Buy Intensity Factor**: IC (2025): 0.028, Multi-Period Returns: 6.78% (2025)[3][6] 7. **Improved Reversal Factor**: IC (2025): 0.003, Multi-Period Returns: 9.34% (2025)[3][6] 8. **Tail-End Trading Proportion Factor**: IC (2025): 0.022, Multi-Period Returns: 5.43% (2025)[3][6] 9. **Average Single Transaction Outflow Proportion Factor**: IC (2025): 0.012, Multi-Period Returns: 0.82% (2025)[3][6] 10. **Large Order Push-Up Factor