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新股速递|AIoT赛道黑马:特斯联(83%增长 vs 21亿亏损)的突围与隐忧
贝塔投资智库· 2025-07-07 03:58
Company Overview - Founded in 2015, the company focuses on AIoT technology, targeting five core scenarios: buildings, communities, parks, cities, and dual carbon [1] - Main products include AI CITY, TacOS platform, AIoT platform, and smart terminals, applied in various sectors such as smart commerce, hospitals, campuses, and buildings [1] - The company serves over 800 clients across more than 160 cities globally, aiming to enhance urban management and promote industrial ecosystem prosperity [1] Financial Performance - Revenue has shown consistent growth over three years, reaching RMB 7.38 billion in 2022, RMB 10.06 billion in 2023, and projected RMB 18.43 billion in 2024, with a growth rate of 83.2% for 2024 [2][3] - The highest revenue segment is the AI industry digitalization business, contributing RMB 4.72 billion in 2022, RMB 6.24 billion in 2023, and expected to reach RMB 16.41 billion in 2024, accounting for 89% of total revenue [3][4] - The company reported net losses of RMB 23.87 billion in 2022, RMB 8.03 billion in 2023, and projected RMB 20.99 billion in 2024, with gross margins of 10.1%, 31.0%, and 15.3% respectively [5][6] Revenue Growth Drivers - The improvement in 2023 revenue is attributed to a rise in gross margin to 31.0%, driven by an increase in high-margin software and services [6] - Cost optimization efforts led to a reduction in sales expenses from 25% to 13% and R&D expenses from 44.6% to 32% [6] - The company signed 194 new clients in 2023, a 10.9% increase from 175 in 2022, indicating a recovery in government and enterprise orders [3][6] Cash Flow and Financial Stability - Cash reserves decreased by 14.1% to RMB 1.58 billion in 2024, which is insufficient to cover losses without additional financing [8] - The company has experienced negative operating cash flow for three consecutive years, with inventory increasing by 55% to RMB 9.79 billion in 2024 [8] - The current ratio for 2024 is only 0.67, indicating significant short-term debt repayment pressure compared to peers [8] Competitive Advantages - The company possesses a full-stack AIoT technology capability, integrating models, systems, and hardware, which is rare in the industry [9] - It supports domestic chips, reducing reliance on foreign components, thus enhancing security [10] - The company has established a strong international presence, with projects in over 160 cities, including landmark projects like the Dubai Expo [10][15] Market Outlook - The AIoT market in China is expected to grow rapidly, reaching RMB 1.2 trillion by 2025, driven by policy support and digital transformation needs [19][20] - The public domain AIoT sector, which includes smart cities and industrial digitalization, is projected to grow at a CAGR of 12.8% [19][20] Risks - The company has a high customer concentration, with the top five clients contributing 70.6% of revenue, indicating potential instability [17] - Financial instability is evident with significant ongoing losses, a declining gross margin, and high liquidity risk [18]