Core Insights - The second-quarter 2025 earnings season has shown better-than-expected results from several U.S. corporations, indicating a positive outlook for the remainder of the year [2][3] Company Summaries JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) - JPMorgan reported adjusted earnings of $4.96 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.51, with revenues of $44.91 billion, surpassing the estimate of $43.81 billion [5] - The company anticipates net interest income (NII) to reach approximately $95.5 billion, up from a previous estimate of $94.5 billion, driven by loan demand and high interest rates [7] - Current-year expected revenue and earnings growth rates are -0.2% and -3.4%, respectively, while next year's growth rates are projected at 2.6% and 5.1% [8] Netflix Inc. (NFLX) - Netflix reported adjusted earnings of $7.19 per share, beating estimates by 1.7%, with revenues of $11.07 billion, a 16% year-over-year increase [10] - The company raised its full-year 2025 revenue forecast to $44.8-$45.2 billion, driven by membership growth and advertising revenue [12] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 15.3% and 31.4%, respectively, with next year's rates at 12.8% and 23.4% [14] The Progressive Corp. (PGR) - Progressive's second-quarter earnings per share were $4.88, beating estimates by 10.1%, with a year-over-year increase of 84.1% [16] - Net premiums written increased by 12% to $20 billion, and operating revenues rose 19.5% year over year to $42.2 billion [17] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 16.6% and 23.4%, respectively, while next year's rates are projected at 9.9% and -4.9% [18] GE Aerospace - GE Aerospace reported adjusted earnings of $1.66 per share, exceeding estimates, with total revenues of $11 billion, a 21% year-over-year increase [20] - Total orders grew by 27% year over year to $14.2 billion, supported by rising defense budgets and demand for commercial air travel [21] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are -4.1% and 22.6%, respectively, with next year's rates at 9.4% and 19.1% [23] Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR) - IBKR reported adjusted earnings of $0.51 per share, beating estimates, with revenues of $1.48 billion, surpassing the consensus by 8.76% [24] - The company is focusing on developing proprietary software and expanding its product suite to support revenue growth [25] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 7.4% and 9.7%, respectively, with next year's rates at 6.6% and 6.7% [26]

Market Overview - The S&P 500 Index has recovered all losses from the tariff-related market turmoil, achieving a nine-day winning streak for the first time since November 2004 [1] - The index was previously down nearly 20% from its all-time high during the April turmoil but has since rebounded and is currently about 7% away from its peak recorded in February [2] Investment Recommendations - Five S&P 500 stocks are recommended for investment, all having provided over 20% returns year to date: Netflix Inc. (NFLX), Philip Morris International Inc. (PM), Newmont Corp. (NEM), CenterPoint Energy Inc. (CNP), and Exelon Corp. (EXC) [3][4] Company Insights Netflix Inc. (NFLX) - NFLX exceeded earnings estimates while maintaining healthy engagement levels despite trade and tariff challenges, reaffirming its 2025 guidance [8] - The launch of its Ad Suite in the U.S. is expected to drive subscriber and average revenue per user (ARPU) growth, with strong visibility in its business leading to positive earnings estimate revisions [9] - NFLX's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 14% and 27.7%, respectively, with a 3.1% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [11] Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) - PM is experiencing strong pricing power and growth in its smoke-free product portfolio, aiming to become substantially smoke-free by 2030 [12] - The company anticipates a 2% increase in volume growth for the fifth consecutive year, with smoke-free products projected to grow by 12-14% [13] - PM's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 8.1% and 13.7%, respectively, with a 4.6% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [14] Newmont Corp. (NEM) - NEM is progressing with growth projects, including the Tanami expansion and the Ahafo North project, which is expected to commence commercial production in the second half of 2025 [15][16] - The company has an expected revenue growth rate of 0.1% and an earnings growth rate of 16.7% for the current year, with a significant 23.4% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [17] CenterPoint Energy Inc. (CNP) - CNP is set to benefit from rising electricity demand due to the electrification of transportation and investments in renewable energy [18] - The company is investing in infrastructure upgrades to support the growing electric vehicle market, including off-road electrification initiatives [20] - CNP's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 3.4% and 8%, respectively, with a slight 0.1% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 60 days [21] Exelon Corp. (EXC) - EXC is focusing on strengthening its transmission and distribution infrastructure, which will enhance service reliability and operational resilience [22] - The company is expected to see revenue and earnings growth rates of 4.3% and 6.8%, respectively, with a 0.4% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [23]

Core Viewpoint - Netflix Inc. has emerged as a defensive investment choice amid market volatility caused by tariffs, demonstrating strong financial performance in Q1 2025 with earnings exceeding expectations while revenue aligned with consensus estimates [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Netflix reported earnings that surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate, while revenue was mostly in line with expectations [1]. - For Q2 2025, the Zacks Consensus Estimate anticipates revenues of $11.05 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 15.6%, and earnings per share (EPS) of $6.96, indicating a 42.6% increase year-over-year [8]. - Positive earnings surprises have been consistent, with an average beat of 6.9% over the last four quarters [8]. Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 indicates a year-over-year increase of 13.9% in revenue and 27.3% in EPS [9]. - For 2026, the estimates reflect an upside of 11.6% for revenue and 20.3% for EPS [9]. Business Strategy and Innovations - Netflix launched its Ad Suite in the U.S. on April 1, 2025, with plans to expand internationally, which is expected to enhance subscriber growth and average revenue per user (ARPU) [10]. - The company is transitioning to its proprietary ad system, moving away from Microsoft as its ad-tech partner, and implementing strategies like ad-supported lower-price tiers and abolishing password sharing [11]. - Netflix employs artificial intelligence and machine learning to provide personalized content recommendations, enhancing user experience and service quality [12][13]. Market Position and Valuation - Despite market volatility, Netflix shares have increased by 17.8% year-to-date, contrasting with an 8.4% decline in the S&P 500 Index [14]. - The company boasts a long-term growth rate of 20.4%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 12.6% [15]. - Netflix's return on equity (ROE) stands at 39.6%, compared to the S&P 500's 17% and the industry's 6.2%, with a net margin of 23.07% versus the S&P 500's 12.7% [15].