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Lockheed Beats Market in a Month: How to Play the Stock Now?
ZACKS· 2025-09-15 14:15
Core Insights - Lockheed Martin Corp. (LMT) shares have increased by 7% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks Aerospace-Defense industry's growth of 1.6% and the S&P 500's return of 2.9% during the same period [1][10] - In contrast, industry peers Boeing Company (BA) and Embraer S.A. (ERJ) have seen declines of 7.1% and 0.9%, respectively [2] Recent Developments - Positive news announcements have contributed to the rise in LMT's stock, indicating strong demand and growth prospects for its products [3] - Notable contracts include a mid-August agreement with Poland to modernize its F-16 fleet, delivery of Black Hawk helicopters to the Philippines, and a $720 million contract for Joint Air-to-Ground Missiles from the U.S. Army [4][5] - LMT's order book for September includes a $900 million contract for Javelin missiles and a $9.8 billion award for 1,970 Patriot Advanced Capability – 3 Missile Segment Enhancement interceptors [6] Financial Outlook - The contracts are expected to drive revenue growth in the coming quarters, with a backlog totaling $166.5 billion as of June 29, 2025, and management anticipating recognition of approximately 38% of this backlog over the next 12 months [7][8][11] - LMT's international business accounts for 27.1% of total sales, with strong demand for tactical missiles, Black Hawk helicopters, and F-35 jets from various countries [12] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 sales indicates year-over-year improvements of 4.5% and 4.3%, respectively, while 2025 earnings estimates suggest a decline of 23.2% [14] - Near-term earnings estimates have decreased over the past 60 days, reflecting analysts' declining confidence in LMT's earnings potential [14] Valuation - LMT's forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 17.34X, which is lower than the peer group's average of 20.37X, indicating a potentially attractive valuation [17] - Embraer is trading at a premium with a forward P/E of 22.36X [18]
Lockheed Martin(LMT) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-22 16:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported sales of $18 billion for the second quarter, with a year-over-year increase and a sequential increase from the first quarter [6][22] - Segment operating profit was $570 million, impacted by $1.8 billion in total charges, primarily from legacy programs [23][28] - Free cash flow usage was $150 million, affected by timing items and delays in contract awards [29][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aeronautics sales increased by 2% year-over-year to $7.4 billion, primarily due to higher F-35 production, offset by a $950 million loss on a classified program [31] - Missiles and Fire Control (MFC) sales rose 11% to $3.4 billion, driven by higher volumes on tactical missile programs [32] - Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS) sales declined 12% to $4 billion, primarily due to losses from the Canadian Maritime Helicopter Program and Turkish Utility Helicopter Program [34] - Space sales increased by 4% year-over-year, driven by higher volumes in Commercial Civil Space and Strategic and Missile Defense [35] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. government's focus on national defense is expected to lead to increased munition spending, with significant orders anticipated in the second half of the year [15][16] - The U.S. Navy's FY26 budget request includes plans to purchase PAC-3 missiles for the first time, indicating a shift in defense spending priorities [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on enhancing program management and performance, particularly in light of recent losses in legacy programs [8][27] - There is an emphasis on restructuring contracts to mitigate risks while meeting national security objectives [47] - The company is committed to investing in advanced technologies and production capabilities to support future growth opportunities [17][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the challenges faced in legacy programs but expressed confidence in the long-term prospects for growth and value creation [27][40] - The company reaffirmed its sales guidance for 2025, expecting a solid backlog and significant awards in the second half of the year [37][41] Other Important Information - The IRS has asserted a $4.6 billion additional income tax liability related to a tax accounting method change, which the company is contesting [28][70] - The company plans to maintain a disciplined capital deployment strategy, returning at least $6 billion per year to shareholders [40] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about derisking problem programs - Management reassured that a new program review team with broader expertise has been established to monitor classified aeronautics programs more rigorously [44][46] Question: Rationale behind significant charges - The company explained that the charges were necessary due to newly discovered cost increases and the need to reassess longstanding assumptions [52][54] Question: Impact of tax liability on cash flow - Management indicated that the tax liability would have a significant impact on cash flow, with an estimated $500 million cash usage tied to the Arrow classified program this year [56][70] Question: F-35 program status and international orders - Management expressed confidence in the F-35's role in modern warfare and its continued demand, despite recent budget cuts [90]
Lockheed Martin(LMT) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-22 16:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported sales of $18 billion for the second quarter, with a year-over-year increase in sales of 2% [20][30] - Segment operating profit was $570 million, significantly impacted by $1.8 billion in total charges, including $1.6 billion related to legacy programs [21][27] - Free cash flow usage was $150 million, affected by delays and tariff impacts [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aeronautics sales increased by 2% year-over-year to $7.4 billion, primarily due to higher F-35 production volumes, offset by a $360 million loss from classified programs [30][31] - Missiles and Fire Control (MFC) sales rose 11% to $3.4 billion, driven by higher volumes in tactical and strike missile programs [32] - Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS) sales declined 12% to $4 billion, primarily due to losses from the Canadian Maritime Helicopter Program (CMHP) and Turkish Utility Helicopter Program (TUHP) [34] - Space sales increased 4% year-over-year, driven by higher volumes in Commercial Civil Space and Strategic and Missile Defense [35] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. government's focus on national defense is expected to lead to increased munition spending in the coming years, with significant orders anticipated for PAC-3 missiles and other munitions [12][13] - The U.S. Navy's FY26 budget request includes plans to purchase PAC-3 missiles for the first time, indicating a shift in defense spending priorities [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on enhancing program management and performance, particularly in light of recent losses in legacy programs [5][6] - There is a commitment to restructuring contracts to mitigate risks while meeting national security objectives [46][47] - The company is investing in advanced technologies and production capabilities to meet heightened demand for its products [4][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the challenges faced in classified programs and emphasized the importance of rigorous oversight and transparency in addressing these issues [44][49] - The company remains confident in the long-term prospects for its programs, particularly the F-35, which is seen as essential for U.S. and allied national security [90] - The outlook for 2025 includes reaffirmed sales guidance of $73.75 billion to $74.75 billion, with expectations for continued growth in the second half of the year [37] Other Important Information - The company recognized a $4.6 billion tax liability related to a tax accounting method change, which is currently under dispute with the IRS [27][70] - The company plans to return approximately $6 billion to shareholders annually through dividends and share repurchases [40] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about derisking problem programs - Management reassured that a new program review team with broader expertise has been established to monitor classified programs more rigorously, aiming to reduce risks and identify issues promptly [44][46] Question: Explanation for significant charges - The significant charges were attributed to new discoveries of cost increases and the need for a comprehensive reassessment of program assumptions, which had not been evident previously [52][53] Question: Impact of tax liability on cash flow - The tax liability is expected to have a minimal cash impact this year, with a projected cash usage of $500 million related to the Arrow classified program [55][70] Question: F-35 procurement and international orders - Management expressed confidence in the F-35's continued relevance and strong international demand, despite recent budget cuts [60][90] Question: Golden Dome program opportunities - While no contracts have been finalized for the Golden Dome initiative, management indicated strong potential for future backlog growth related to this program [81][84]
Missile Wins Can't Offset Margin Collapse, Lockheed Martin Tumbles After Q2 Report
Benzinga· 2025-07-22 14:07
The company reported net sales of $18.16 billion, marginally missing the Street estimate of $18.63 billion, while adjusted earnings per share of $7.29 topped the consensus forecast of $6.63. GAAP EPS plunged to $1.46, down from $6.63 a year ago, as the company absorbed $1.6 billion in pre-tax charges tied to performance issues in legacy programs. Hefty program charges overshadowed Lockheed Martin's results, cutting into margins and sharply reducing GAAP profits. Lockheed Martin Corp. LMT shares traded lower ...
Lockheed Martin Reports Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results
Prnewswire· 2025-07-22 11:29
Core Insights - Lockheed Martin Corporation reported second quarter 2025 sales of $18.2 billion, a slight increase from $18.1 billion in the same quarter of 2024, but net earnings significantly decreased to $342 million or $1.46 per share, down from $1.6 billion or $6.85 per share in Q2 2024, primarily due to $1.6 billion in program losses and other charges [1][11][46] - The company emphasized its strong performance in combat operations and the demand for advanced technologies, leading to increased orders from U.S. and allied customers, including additional F-35 purchases and missile-related contracts exceeding $1 billion [2][3] - Despite the challenges faced, including significant program losses, the company remains committed to delivering critical capabilities and maintaining its full-year 2025 guidance for sales and cash flow [3][11] Financial Performance - Sales for the second quarter of 2025 were $18.2 billion, with a year-to-date total of $36.1 billion, reflecting a 2% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [1][46] - The company reported cash from operations of $201 million and free cash flow of $(150) million, a significant decline from $1.9 billion and $1.5 billion respectively in Q2 2024 [1][17] - Total pre-tax losses on programs amounted to $1.6 billion, impacting earnings per share by $5.83, with net earnings for the quarter at $342 million [11][48] Program Losses and Charges - The company recognized significant program losses, including $950 million on a classified program at its Aeronautics segment, $570 million on the Canadian Maritime Helicopter Program (CMHP), and $95 million on the Turkish Utility Helicopter Program (TUHP) [4][5][7][48] - Other charges included a $66 million write-off of fixed assets related to the U.S. Air Force's Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) program and $103 million related to uncertain tax positions [8][11][48] Business Segment Performance - Aeronautics segment sales increased by 2% to $7.42 billion, but operating profit turned to a loss of $98 million due to the classified program losses [27][49] - Missiles and Fire Control (MFC) segment sales rose by 11% to $3.43 billion, with operating profit increasing by 6% to $479 million [29][30] - Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS) segment sales decreased by 12% to $3.99 billion, resulting in an operating loss of $172 million, primarily due to losses on CMHP and TUHP [31][32] - Space segment sales increased by 4% to $3.31 billion, with operating profit rising by 5% to $362 million [33][34] Outlook and Strategic Focus - The company is focused on improving operational performance and capital allocation, with plans to invest $800 million in infrastructure and innovation for growth [3][11] - Lockheed Martin reaffirmed its full-year 2025 guidance for sales, cash from operations, capital expenditures, free cash flow, and share repurchases, indicating confidence in future performance despite current challenges [3][20]