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汽车行业周报:汽车反内卷新政出台,行业价格乱象有望纠正-20251215
Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Recommended" for the automotive industry [2]. Core Viewpoints - The introduction of the automotive anti-involution policy is expected to correct price irregularities in the industry, with the potential for marginal recovery in profit margins across the supply chain [5][15]. - The National Market Supervision Administration released the "Guidelines for Compliance with Automotive Industry Pricing Behavior," which aims to regulate pricing practices from production to sales [5][15]. - Major automakers such as BYD, BAIC Group, and Xpeng Motors have expressed their support for the new guidelines, indicating a collective effort to address unreasonable competition [5][15]. Industry Dynamics - The automotive sector is witnessing a shift towards L3 and L4 autonomous driving technologies, with companies like Ideal Auto planning to launch their first L4 model within three years [5][24]. - The market is seeing new model launches, including the Geely Lynk 10 EM-P and Dongfeng Lantu Zhaiguang L, among others [5][31]. - The automotive sector's performance has outpaced the broader market, with the automotive index showing a gain of 0.16% compared to a decline of 0.08% in the CSI 300 index during the week of December 8 to December 12, 2025 [5][36]. Data Tracking - In November 2025, retail sales of passenger vehicles reached 2.225 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 8.22%, while retail sales of new energy vehicles increased by 4.03% to 1.321 million units [5][47]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in retail sales reached 59.4%, up 6.99 percentage points year-on-year [5][57]. - The inventory coefficient for automotive dealers was reported at 1.57 in November 2025, indicating a significant increase compared to the previous year [5][70]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in a strong new product cycle, such as Great Wall Motors, Seres, SAIC Motor, and Xpeng Motors [5]. - It also highlights supply chain leaders and companies involved in humanoid robotics and intelligent driving as potential investment targets [5]. - For commercial vehicles, it recommends focusing on leading companies like Weichai Power and Yutong Bus, which are expected to benefit from the industry's recovery [5].