Investment Rating - The investment rating for Gree Electric Appliances Inc of Zhuhai is Overweight [2][12][13]. Core Views - The report indicates a price target of Rmb54.00, with the stock currently trading at Rmb45.56, suggesting an upside potential of approximately 18.53% [2][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for fiscal years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be Rmb6.31, Rmb6.69, and Rmb7.22 respectively, reflecting an increase from prior estimates [2][20]. - The report highlights a solid balance sheet and a sustainable high dividend payout ratio, which supports long-term returns [16]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - Revenue for 2025 is slightly reduced by 2-3% due to a fading trade-in effect amid macro uncertainties, while earnings estimates are lifted by 5-6% due to better margin trends observed in Q1 2025 [1][2]. - The projected domestic air conditioner volume growth for 2025 is 8%, with an average selling price (ASP) growth of 2% [17]. Valuation Metrics - The price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple is adjusted from 9x to 8.5x, reflecting a market derating amid high global macro uncertainties [1][6]. - The stock is currently trading at an attractive valuation of approximately 7x 2025e P/E, which is about 1 standard deviation below its average of 10x since 2017 [16]. Risk Reward Scenarios - The bull case scenario assumes an 11x target P/E with EPS growth of 17% and 6% for 2025 and 2026 respectively, while the bear case assumes a 5x target P/E with lower EPS growth of 3% and 6% [10][15]. - The report identifies positive themes in pricing power and special situations for Gree Electric Appliances [14].