Summary of Pan-Asia Internet Research Conference Call Industry Overview - **Pan-Asia Internet Sector**: The conference call focused on the outlook for the Pan-Asia internet sector, highlighting the impact of AI adoption on monetization and margins for 2026 [1][4]. Key Insights by Region China Internet - **Performance**: China's internet sector led in 2025 with a +31% return, outperforming the US (+20%), Korea (+14%), SEA (+11%), Japan (+10%), and India (+9%) [5]. - **AI Focus**: Key themes for 2026 include: - Growth in recurring revenues from cloud infrastructure and AI model usage. - Competition among AI chatbots for user traffic. - Companies deploying proprietary AI agents for user engagement and monetization [8]. - **Top Picks**: Tencent and Alibaba as core AI plays, along with Trip.com and NetEase for stable earnings growth [8]. India Internet - **Operating Margins**: Expected improvement in operating margins driven by operating leverage and better unit economics, particularly for companies like Swiggy and Paytm [7]. - **Key Themes**: - Intense competition in quick commerce. - Regulatory easing for fintech, particularly for Paytm. - Rebound in online travel agencies (OTAs) due to sustained demand [7]. - **Top Picks**: Eternal and MakeMyTrip [7]. Korea Internet - **Market Dynamics**: - Coupang expected to gain market share in e-commerce and food delivery. - Integration of AI in KakaoTalk to enhance search capabilities [9]. - Selective approach to gaming due to competition and delays in major game releases [9]. - **Top Picks**: Coupang for e-commerce, Krafton for gaming, and HYBE for K-pop entertainment [9]. Japan Internet - **Growth Drivers**: - Solid online ads market driven by video and staffing ads, while search ads stagnate. - Mid-single-digit growth expected in e-commerce, supported by AI recommendations [10]. - **Top Picks**: Recruit and Nintendo [10]. ASEAN Internet - **Growth Potential**: - SEA positioned as an AI data center hub, supporting digital economy growth. - Intensifying competition between Shopee and TikTok in e-commerce [11]. - **Top Picks**: Grab and GoTo for operational efficiencies and potential synergies from consolidation [11]. Financial Metrics and Valuations - **China Internet Valuations**: - Alibaba Group: Target price of $225, representing a 54.9% upside [13]. - JD.com: Target price of $44, with a 57.8% upside [13]. - **Korea Internet Valuations**: - Coupang: Target price of $28, with an 18.7% upside [12]. - Krafton: Target price of $440, with a 78.9% upside [12]. - **India Internet Valuations**: - Eternal: Target price of $440, with a 58.3% upside [12]. Additional Insights - **Regulatory Developments**: Anticipated changes in India's laws regarding multi-brand retail FDI and fintech regulations [7]. - **Consumer Behavior**: Increased productivity from AI tools may lead to more leisure time, benefiting sectors like travel and online gaming [8]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the conference call, providing insights into the performance and outlook of the Pan-Asia internet sector across various regions.

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The China internet sector has shown strong performance in 2025, with a year-to-date return of +36.5%, outperforming Southeast Asia (+18.3%), India (+17.6%), Japan (+16.8%), the US (+16.2%), and Korea (+12.8%) [1][16] - Geopolitical tensions and AI supply-chain issues are expected to keep China's internet companies trading at discounts compared to global peers [1][2] Core Themes and Insights - **AI Competition and Productivity Gains**: The competition among AI players in China is anticipated to intensify in 2026, focusing on AI cloud infrastructure, chatbots, and applications [1][2] - **Monetization Lag**: Monetization of AI technologies is expected to lag behind user traffic growth, particularly when compared to global peers [1][2] - **Top Picks for 1H26**: Recommended stocks include Tencent and Alibaba as core AI plays, Trip.com and NetEase for stable earnings growth, and Century Huatong among A shares [1][2] AI Market Dynamics - **AI Chatbot Penetration**: ChatGPT leads globally with 800 million monthly active users (MAUs), while Bytedance's Dola and Doubao combined rank third with approximately 250 million MAUs [3] - **User Traffic Competition**: Major internet players are competing for user traffic through AI chatbots, which is crucial for future ecosystem monetization [2] Consumer Behavior and Spending - **Leisure and Entertainment Spending**: The adoption of AI tools is expected to enhance consumer productivity, leading to increased spending on leisure and entertainment, particularly in travel and online gaming [4] - **Stable Earnings Growth**: Online travel agencies (OTAs) and gaming companies are projected to benefit from resilient consumer spending [4] Investment Risks - **Geopolitical and Economic Risks**: Risks include geopolitical tensions, AI supply-chain constraints, muted consumer sentiment without stimulus policies, and intensified competition in AI applications [5] - **Profitability Concerns**: The potential for profit lock-in through membership investments and a slowdown in capital returns are highlighted as significant risks [5] Financial Performance Insights - **3Q25 Results**: Among 44 internet companies, 18 reported revenue beats, and 27 reported earnings beats. The guidance for 4Q25 showed mixed results, with some companies exceeding expectations while others fell short [6][10] - **Year-to-Date Share Price Performance**: Alibaba leads with an 86% return, followed by Tencent at 47%. Meituan has underperformed with a -32% return [16][28] Conclusion - The China internet sector is poised for growth driven by AI advancements, but faces challenges from geopolitical risks and competitive pressures. Companies like Tencent and Alibaba are positioned as key players in this evolving landscape, while consumer spending trends indicate resilience in leisure and entertainment sectors.