Market Overview - U.S. equities rebounded in Q2 2025 after a correction in Q1, overcoming tariff and growth concerns, as well as geopolitical issues, leading to solid gains [2] - The recovery was characterized by a return to AI market leadership, with hyperscalers committing to high levels of AI-driven capital expenditures [2] - Semiconductor companies experienced benefits from strong earnings and renewed expectations for widespread AI adoption [2] Company Performance - Broadcom (AVGO) saw significant gains due to increased enthusiasm for AI buildouts and its custom-designed chips gaining traction as alternatives to Nvidia's GPUs [3] - Microchip Technology (MCHP) reported strong financial results, benefiting from a cyclical rebound and the return of its long-tenured CEO [4] - Meta Platforms (META) shares rose as the company continued to gain digital advertising market share, with AI enhancing engagement and monetization [5] Sector Analysis - The health care sector faced challenges, with UnitedHealth Group (UNH) underperforming due to higher utilization rates and executive changes, while Becton Dickinson (BDX) reported slower-than-expected sales growth [5] - McKesson (MCK) performed well, benefiting from strong fundamentals in U.S. pharma and specialty distribution [5] - In industrials, the portfolio was underweight in high-momentum stocks benefiting from AI demand, although Eaton (ETN) performed strongly [6] Portfolio Positioning - Minimal positioning changes occurred, with a focus on consumer staples; Procter & Gamble (PG) was added to the portfolio as a defensive measure amid inflation concerns [7] - The portfolio strategy emphasizes stock-level decisions over macroeconomic predictions, aiming for best-in-class franchises at attractive valuations [8] Market Outlook - The current market presents favorable opportunities for disciplined long-term stock pickers, particularly in value stocks, as valuation disparities between growth and value stocks have widened [9][12] - Historical trends suggest that value stocks tend to recover following significant underperformance compared to growth stocks [9] Portfolio Highlights - The ClearBridge Large Cap Value ESG Strategy modestly underperformed its benchmark, with positive contributions from IT and financials, while health care was a main detractor [13] - Stock selection negatively impacted performance, particularly in industrials and health care, while sector allocation was beneficial [14] - Key contributors included Broadcom, Microchip Technology, Eaton, JPMorgan Chase (JPM), and Meta Platforms, while Becton Dickinson and UnitedHealth Group were notable detractors [15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Analog Devices (ADI), Allegro MicroSystems (ALGM), Microchip Technology (MCHP), and Texas Instruments (TXN), while Onsemi (ON) is rated as "Neutral" [10][11]. Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing strong near-term demand, but there are signs of demand pull-ins due to tariff-related concerns, which is a key investor worry [2][3]. - Distributor inventory levels have normalized, particularly for Microchip Technology, which has seen a significant reduction in inventory [4][8]. - Pricing across the sector remains generally stable, with ON experiencing notable pricing pressure as it attempts to defend market share [2][4]. Semiconductor Purchaser Survey - The quarterly B2B survey indicates a net increase in demand of +75%, with expectations for future demand remaining strong at +73% [15][17]. - Nearly half of the respondents are exploring alternative supply sources outside the US or China, which is seen as a positive for European analog suppliers [3][18]. - The percentage of respondents indicating their analog semiconductor inventory is above target has significantly decreased, suggesting a healthier demand environment [3][15]. Inventory Financial Reporting Deep Dive - The report highlights that Analog Devices and Microchip Technology have lean inventory levels, positioning them well for an upcycle, while ON continues to face headwinds with high inventory levels [7][8]. - MCHP has successfully executed a turnaround plan, reducing inventory and production significantly [8][10]. - The overall inventory days for major companies like ADI, MCHP, and TXN are being closely monitored, with MCHP showing the largest decline in inventory [4][15]. Pricing Trends - Pricing for true analog semiconductors has remained flat, while power analog pricing has slightly declined, particularly for ON [4][10]. - The report notes that 68% of respondents have reported price increases, with expectations for further increases strengthening to 62% [17][18]. Market Outlook - The semiconductor market is expected to see a recovery, with TXN maintaining elevated inventory levels in anticipation of a sharp upcycle [8][10]. - The report suggests that the channel will likely begin rebuilding inventory, flipping the delta between sell-in and sell-through [8][10]. - Overall, the demand picture is improving, with significant increases in net demand expectations across various sectors, particularly in data centers [32][46].