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CIFR vs. CRCL: Which Crypto-Infrastructure Stock Has an Edge Now?
ZACKS· 2025-11-27 19:05
Core Insights - Cipher Mining (CIFR) and Circle Internet Group (CRCL) are significant players in the cryptocurrency infrastructure sector, with CIFR focusing on bitcoin mining and high-performance computing, while CRCL specializes in stablecoins and blockchain infrastructure [1][2] Group 1: Cipher Mining (CIFR) - CIFR's bitcoin mining operations have significantly contributed to its financial performance, mining 629 Bitcoin in Q3 2025, generating $72 million in revenues [3] - The company increased its mining capacity from 423 megawatts to 477 megawatts across five sites, surpassing previous hash rate projections [4] - CIFR achieved a self-mining hash rate of approximately 23.6 exahash per second, positioning itself as one of the industry's most efficient miners with a fleet efficiency of 16.8 joules per terahash [5] - CIFR's clientele includes major companies like Amazon Web Services, Fluidstack, and Google, enhancing its credibility in high-performance computing [6] Group 2: Circle Internet Group (CRCL) - CRCL is experiencing a surge in demand for its USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin, with circulation growing 108% year over year to $73.7 billion by the end of Q3 2025 [7] - The average USDC in circulation increased 97% year over year to $67.8 billion, and on-chain transaction volume grew 6.8 times year over year to nearly $9.6 trillion [7] - CRCL's innovation is highlighted by the Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP), which saw a 640% year-over-year increase in volume to $31.3 billion in Q3 2025 [8] - The company launched a public testnet for its Arc Network, with over 100 major partners, including AWS and Visa, participating in testing [9] Group 3: Market Performance and Valuation - In the past three months, CIFR shares have increased by 172.8%, while CRCL shares have decreased by 44.5%, attributed to higher bitcoin prices and increased production from CIFR's Black Pearl facility [11] - Both companies are currently considered overvalued, with CIFR trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 20.51X, compared to CRCL's 5.4X [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CIFR's loss in 2025 is 37 cents per share, while CRCL's estimate is a loss of 87 cents per share, which is an improvement from a loss of $1.94 per share [16] Group 4: Conclusion - Both CIFR and CRCL are well-positioned to benefit from the growing cryptocurrency market, but CRCL appears to have a stronger edge due to steady growth in stablecoin usage and new platform developments [18]
Circle's Arc Network Gains Momentum: Is It the Next Growth Catalyst?
ZACKS· 2025-11-27 14:06
Core Insights - Circle Internet Group is advancing its financial technology platform with the launch of the Arc Network, which began public testing in Q3 2025 with over 100 major partners including AWS, BlackRock, HSBC, Mastercard, Standard Chartered, and Visa [1][10] - The Arc Network aims to enhance payment and transaction efficiency, with plans for a native token to support its growth and operational management, targeting a commercial launch in 2026 [2][10] - Circle's Payments Network (CPN) is rapidly expanding, currently serving 29 financial institutions with over 500 more in the onboarding process, and has seen payment volume increase by approximately 100 times in just five months [3][10] Company Strategy and Market Position - If the Arc Network and CPN successfully integrate, Circle could emerge as a key player in bridging traditional finance with blockchain systems, although the Arc Network is still in the testing phase [4] - Circle faces significant competition from PayPal and Coinbase in the cryptocurrency sector, with PayPal introducing services that allow merchants to accept payments in over 100 cryptocurrencies and Coinbase partnering with Shopify for USD Coin payments [5][6][7] Financial Performance and Valuation - Circle's share price has decreased by 15.8% since its market debut on June 5, 2025, underperforming the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry's decline of 6.6% [8] - The company's forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 5.21, which is higher than the industry's ratio of 2.94, indicating a premium valuation [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings is a loss of $0.87 per share, an improvement from a previous estimate of a loss of $1.94 per share, while the 2026 earnings estimate has been revised upward by 21% to $0.92 [11][14]
CRCL Stock Plunges 16% Post Q3 Results: Is the Dip Worth Buying?
ZACKS· 2025-11-14 13:51
Core Viewpoint - Circle Internet Group's shares have declined by 16.2% following the release of its Q3 2025 results, despite better-than-expected financial performance, primarily due to concerns over rising expenses impacting margins [1][9]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Circle's adjusted operating expenses rose by 35% year over year to $131 million, with full-year 2025 expenses projected between $495 million and $510 million, an increase from previous guidance of $475-$490 million [2]. - Circle reported total revenues of $740 million, a 66% year-over-year increase, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.4%. Adjusted earnings were 64 cents per share, exceeding the estimate of 20 cents [10]. - Revenues less distribution costs (RLDC) increased by 55% year over year to $292 million, although the RLDC margin contracted by 270 basis points to 39% [10]. Market Position and Comparisons - Since its trading debut on June 5, 2025, Circle's shares have decreased by 1.9%, underperforming the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, which returned 1%. Compared to peers, Circle outperformed PayPal but underperformed Robinhood Markets and Coinbase Global [3]. - Circle's forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 6.22X, lower than the sector's 8.95X, and also lower than Robinhood Markets and Coinbase Global, but higher than PayPal [16][18]. Stablecoin Growth - The circulation of USDC grew by 108% year over year to $73.7 billion, with on-chain transaction volume increasing 6.8 times to nearly $9.6 trillion, indicating rising adoption [7][9]. - The company minted USDC worth $79.7 billion, up 128% year over year, and redeemed $67.3 billion, a 112% increase [8]. Strategic Developments - Circle is advancing its platform with the Arc Network, which is currently in public testing with over 100 major partners, including AWS and Visa. The network aims to enhance payment efficiency and security [11][12]. - The Payments Network (CPN) is also expanding rapidly, with 29 financial institutions currently using it and over 500 in the onboarding process, showing a 100-fold increase in payment volume within five months [13]. Future Outlook - The regulatory environment is improving, with supportive legislation like the GENIUS Act, which is expected to facilitate enterprise adoption of stablecoins [8]. - Circle's growth trajectory appears positive, driven by increasing stablecoin usage and strategic partnerships, with expectations for the Arc Network to play a significant role in future growth [19][20].
Circle says it’s ‘exploring possibility’ of launching new token in third quarter financial report
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-12 15:03
Circle, the issuer of the $76 billion stablecoin USDC, announced on Wednesday that it’s exploring the launch of a new cryptocurrency. The token would be used for Circle’s Arc Network, the company’s layer 1 blockchain optimised for stablecoins. Details are scarce, but the company expects the token to “further align the interest of Arc stakeholders” and drive adoption of the blockchain. Circle introduced Arc in August and launched its public testnet in October, with over 100 institutions participating, in ...
Circle Reports Third Quarter 2025 Results
Businesswire· 2025-11-12 11:25
Core Insights - Circle Internet Group, Inc. reported strong financial results for Q3 2025, highlighting significant growth in revenue and net income, driven by the increasing adoption of USDC and the launch of the Arc public testnet [3][4][5]. Financial Highlights - Total revenue and reserve income reached $740 million, a 66% increase year-over-year [4][5]. - Net income from continuing operations was $214 million, reflecting a 202% year-over-year increase [4][5]. - Adjusted EBITDA was $166 million, up 78% year-over-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 57% [4][5][10]. - USDC in circulation grew to $73.7 billion, marking a 108% increase year-over-year [5][6]. Corporate & Commercial Highlights - The Arc public testnet was launched with participation from over 100 companies across various sectors, indicating strong interest in programmable financial infrastructure [3][5][10]. - Circle is exploring the launch of a native token on the Arc network to enhance network participation and adoption [10][11]. - The Circle Payments Network (CPN) expanded to include 29 financial institutions, with 500 more in the pipeline, demonstrating growing commercial partnerships [5][16]. Key Operating Indicators - Average USDC in circulation was $67.8 billion, a 97% increase year-over-year [6]. - The stablecoin market share reached 29%, up 643 basis points [6]. - The number of meaningful wallets holding USDC increased to 6.3 million, a 77% growth [6]. Recent Developments - Reserve income increased to $711 million, a 60% year-over-year growth, primarily due to the rise in average USDC circulation [10][22]. - Other revenue surged to $29 million, up from $1 million year-over-year, driven by subscription and services revenue [10][22]. - Total distribution, transaction, and other costs rose to $448 million, a 74% increase year-over-year, reflecting higher distribution payments due to increased USDC circulation [10][22].