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暴涨超28%!大摩:AI导致Astera Lab(ALAB)加速成长!
美股IPO· 2025-08-06 16:52
Core Viewpoint - Astera Labs (ALAB) has demonstrated strong growth across all product lines, with significant revenue increases and a promising outlook for future expansion, particularly in switch products [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the latest quarter reached $192 million, representing a quarter-over-quarter growth of 20.4% and a year-over-year growth of 149.7%, exceeding market expectations of $173 million [6]. - Gross margin stood at 76.0%, which is an increase of 116 basis points quarter-over-quarter and 197 basis points above market expectations [6]. - Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) were reported at $0.44, surpassing market expectations of $0.32 [6]. Guidance and Projections - The company anticipates next quarter's revenue to be $206.5 million, indicating a quarter-over-quarter growth of 7.6% and a year-over-year growth of 82.6%, also above market expectations [7]. - The gross margin guidance for the next quarter is set at 75.0%, higher than market expectations of 73.4% [7]. - Revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 have been revised upwards to 96% and 34% growth, respectively, reflecting stronger trends in the Scorpio product line [8]. Product Line Growth - All product lines, including commercial processors and ASIC processors, have shown growth, with over 10 Scorpio Switch customers currently in discussions [9]. - The Scorpio P Switch has begun shipping, and Scorpio X is expected to enter mass production in 2026 [9]. Market Dynamics - The interconnect market within cabinets is emerging as a new business opportunity, with AI inference shifting towards cabinet-level connections, indicating a significant expansion of Astera's potential market [4]. - Despite competitive pressures from various scale-up standards, the overall market remains large, providing ample opportunities for Astera [4]. Valuation and Target Price - The target price for Astera has been raised to $155, based on a revised sales forecast and a consistent EV/sales/growth ratio of 0.83, reflecting the company's strong growth potential [10].