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AVGO vs. OKTA: Which Enterprise Security Software Stock is a Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-07-21 18:22
Core Insights - Broadcom (AVGO) and Okta (OKTA) are significant players in the enterprise security software market, with Broadcom offering a wide range of security solutions and Okta focusing on cloud-based identity solutions [1][2] Industry Overview - Gartner projects enterprise spending on cybersecurity software and network security to grow by 14% in 2025, reaching $118.5 billion, driven by demand for Generative AI and cloud adoption [2] - IDC anticipates global cybersecurity spending to increase by 12.2% year over year in 2025, with security software spending expected to grow by 14.4% year over year [2] Company Performance - Broadcom's infrastructure software revenues rose by 25% year over year to $6.6 billion in Q2 of fiscal 2025, accounting for 44% of total revenues [7] - Okta's stock has appreciated 21.1% year to date, benefiting from strong demand for its innovative security products [3][11] Product Innovations - Broadcom has introduced several AI-powered security features, including updates to VMware vDefend and Incident Prediction, aimed at enhancing threat prevention and operational efficiency [9][10] - Okta's new protocol, Cross App Access, enhances security for AI agents and improves user experience by streamlining authorization processes [12][13] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Broadcom's fiscal 2025 earnings is $6.64 per share, indicating a 36.34% increase over fiscal 2024 [14] - Okta's fiscal 2026 earnings estimate remains steady at $3.28 per share, suggesting a 16.73% growth over fiscal 2025 [15] Valuation Metrics - Broadcom's shares are trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 18.55X, significantly higher than Okta's 5.6X, indicating that Okta is currently undervalued [17] - Both companies are considered overvalued based on their Value Scores, with Broadcom rated D and Okta rated F [18] Investment Outlook - Broadcom expects its AI revenues to increase by 60% year over year to $5.1 billion in Q3 of fiscal 2025, although it anticipates sluggishness in other business segments [22] - Okta's strong growth prospects are highlighted by its 20,000 customers and $4.084 billion in remaining performance obligations as of Q1 fiscal 2026 [23] - Okta is rated as a better buy compared to Broadcom, with a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) versus Broadcom's 3 (Hold) [24]
Okta Declines 16% Post Q1 Earnings: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 16:50
Core Viewpoint - Okta's shares fell 16.16% to $105.22 after reporting strong earnings and revenue growth, primarily due to slowing growth expectations for the upcoming fiscal second quarter and fiscal 2026 [1] Financial Performance - For Q2 fiscal 2026, Okta expects revenues between $710 million and $712 million, reflecting a 10% year-over-year growth, down from 11.5% in Q1 fiscal 2026 [2] - For fiscal 2026, Okta anticipates revenues between $2.85 billion and $2.86 billion, indicating a 9-10% growth from fiscal 2025 [3] - Non-GAAP earnings for fiscal 2026 are projected between $3.23 and $3.28 per share, an increase from previous guidance of $3.15 to $3.20 per share [3] Market Performance - Year-to-date, Okta shares have returned 33.5%, outperforming peers like Microsoft (8.5%), IBM (14.5%), and CyberArk (18.4%) [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings remains steady at 79 cents per share, suggesting a 9.72% year-over-year growth [7] - For fiscal 2026, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is $3.19 per share, indicating a 13.52% growth over fiscal 2025 [8] Product Demand and Client Growth - Okta is experiencing strong demand for its identity solutions, including Identity Governance and Privileged Access, which are crucial for managing non-human identities [9] - The company exited Q1 fiscal 2026 with approximately 20,000 customers and $4.084 billion in remaining performance obligations (RPOs), indicating robust subscription revenue growth [10] - The number of customers with over $100,000 in Annual Contract Value increased by 70 sequentially to 4,870 [10] Strategic Partnerships and Innovations - Okta's governance portfolio has surged 400% over the past three years, reaching nearly $40 billion, supported by a strong partner ecosystem including AWS, Microsoft, and Salesforce [12] - The company offers AI-powered capabilities through Okta AI, enhancing user experiences and cybersecurity [11] Valuation and Market Sentiment - Okta shares are considered overvalued, with a Price/Cash Flow ratio of 24.59X compared to the sector's 19.8X, indicating a premium valuation [13] - The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting a bearish trend [16] - Despite its innovative portfolio, Okta faces challenges from macroeconomic conditions and a stretched valuation, leading to a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [19]
Okta Declines 11% in a Month: Should You Buy the Stock on the Dip?
ZACKS· 2025-04-25 19:00
Core Viewpoint - Okta's shares have faced an 11% decline in a month due to a challenging macroeconomic environment, but an innovative product portfolio is expected to drive significant growth in 2025 [1] Company Performance - Year-to-date, Okta shares have returned 29.3%, outperforming competitors like Microsoft (MSFT), IBM, and CyberArk, which returned 3.6%, 4.6%, and -8.2% respectively [2] - Okta exited the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 with 19,650 customers and $4.215 billion in remaining performance obligations, indicating strong growth prospects for subscription revenues [5] - Customers with over $100 thousand in Annual Contract Value increased by 7% year-over-year to 4,800 [5] Product Demand and Innovation - Okta's innovative portfolio, including Okta AI and various identity solutions, is driving strong demand and client acquisition [5][6] - The recent introduction of Auth for GenAI in Developer Preview enhances secure identity integration in GenAI applications [8] Market Position and Recognition - Okta is gaining market share in the cybersecurity domain, outperforming Microsoft, IBM, and CyberArk, and has received accolades from Gartner for its access management capabilities [10][9] - The company has a rich partner base, including AWS, Google, and Salesforce, with over 7,000 integrations as of January 31, 2025 [11] Financial Outlook - For Q1 fiscal 2026, Okta expects revenues between $678 million and $680 million, reflecting a 10% year-over-year growth, with non-GAAP earnings projected between 76 and 77 cents per share [12] - For fiscal 2026, revenues are expected to be between $2.85 billion and $2.86 billion, indicating 9-10% growth from fiscal 2025 [13] - Okta's earnings have consistently beaten Zacks Consensus Estimates, with an average surprise of 15.7% over the trailing four quarters [14] Valuation Metrics - Okta is trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 6.05X, compared to the broader sector's 5.56X, indicating a premium valuation [15] - The stock is currently trading above the 200-day moving average, suggesting a bullish trend [19]