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The Identity Security Profit Machine Pulls Ahead While Its Faster Growing Rival Burns Cash
247Wallst· 2025-12-13 15:40
Core Insights - Okta and SailPoint both exceeded Q3 2026 earnings expectations, but their financial paths are markedly different [1] Financial Performance - Okta reported $742 million in revenue, a 12% year-over-year increase, and achieved $43 million in GAAP net income [1][2] - SailPoint generated $282 million in revenue, reflecting a 20% growth, but incurred a GAAP operating loss of $36 million [1][3] - Okta's operating cash flow surged 37% to $218 million, while SailPoint's operating cash flow was $54 million [2][4] Cash Position and Valuation - Okta holds $2.46 billion in cash, significantly more than SailPoint's $298 million, allowing for aggressive investment and margin pressure management [5] - SailPoint's price-to-sales ratio stands at 12.7x, compared to Okta's 5.6x, indicating a valuation disconnect despite SailPoint's higher growth rate [5][6] Market Expectations and Analyst Ratings - SailPoint trades at 119x forward earnings, while Okta trades at 24x forward earnings, reflecting differing market expectations [6] - Analysts show a slight preference for SailPoint with 86% buy ratings compared to Okta's 64% [6] Future Outlook - Okta's Q4 revenue guidance is set at $748-750 million, suggesting an 11% growth, while SailPoint anticipates $290-294 million in revenue [7] - Okta's focus on large customer wins and AI product adoption may help sustain profitability, whereas SailPoint needs to demonstrate scalability and reduced losses [7][8]
Okta Beats Q3 Estimates and Raises Full-Year Outlook on Strength from Large Customers and AI Security Tools
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-12-03 21:31
Core Insights - Okta Inc. reported quarterly results that exceeded expectations, driven by strong enterprise demand and increasing adoption of identity governance and AI-enabled security products [1][2] - The company raised its full-year outlook, reflecting confidence in continued growth [1] Financial Performance - Non-GAAP EPS was $0.82, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.75 [1] - Revenue grew 12% to $742 million, exceeding expectations of $730.3 million, with subscription revenue increasing by 11% to $724 million [1] - Remaining performance obligations (RPO) rose 17% to $4.29 billion, while current RPO advanced 13% [2] - Operating cash flow was $218 million, up from $159 million a year ago, with free cash flow at $211 million [2] - GAAP net income improved to $43 million, compared to $16 million last year [3] - Non-GAAP operating income reached $178 million, representing a 24% margin [3] Future Guidance - For fiscal 2026, Okta expects revenue of $2.906–$2.908 billion, slightly above the $2.89 billion consensus [3] - Non-GAAP EPS guidance for fiscal 2026 is set at $3.43–$3.44, above the $3.37 estimate [3] - Current-quarter guidance anticipates revenue of $748–$750 million and non-GAAP EPS of $0.84–$0.85, with current RPO growth projected at 8.9%, just below the consensus of 9.1% [3]
Okta(OKTA) - 2026 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-12-02 23:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3, the company reported strong performance driven by large customers and upsells, particularly with new products like Okta Identity Governance [6][14] - The company ended the quarter with nearly $2.5 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, indicating a strong balance sheet [17] - For Q4, the company expects total revenue growth of 10%, current RPO growth of 9%, non-GAAP operating margin of 25%, and free cash flow margin of approximately 31% [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - New products such as Okta Identity Governance and Okta Privileged Access are contributing significantly to results, helping customers reduce complexity and improve security [7][14] - The company has seen a record number of customers and partners engaging with its new products, particularly in the AI security space [8][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has over 20,000 customers, positioning it well to become the identity layer for AI agents [9] - There is a growing interest in agentic security solutions, with over 100 current customers representing over $200 million in existing ARR [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on securing AI agents and non-human identities, which is seen as a critical growth opportunity [8][12] - The strategy includes expanding go-to-market specialization and increasing the number of quota-carrying sales representatives to meet demand [15][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the upcoming Q4, which is expected to be the largest quarter of the year, and highlighted the positive trends in sales productivity and customer interest in new products [14][18] - The company is confident in its strategy to capture emerging opportunities in the identity security space, particularly related to AI [14][35] Other Important Information - The company has been investing in innovation, with a focus on simplifying customer interactions through product suites [7] - The management team emphasized the importance of consolidating identity management solutions to enhance security and reduce complexity for customers [26][27] Q&A Session Summary Question: What convinces customers to consolidate their identity management with Okta? - Management indicated that technological changes, particularly related to AI, are driving customers to consolidate their identity management solutions with Okta [24][26] Question: Can AI capabilities be deployed by non-Okta customers? - Management confirmed that while many customers are interested in AI capabilities, they are primarily focused on existing Okta customers for deployment [30][33] Question: How does the company view the market for AI and identity security? - Management sees a significant market opportunity in securing AI agents, with a potential TAM larger than existing identity markets [34][35] Question: What is the outlook for next year? - Management refrained from providing specific guidance for FY27 but expressed confidence in the business momentum and upcoming Q4 performance [40][48] Question: How is the sales realignment affecting performance? - Management reported positive results from the sales realignment, with improved AE productivity and lower attrition rates [80][81]
Okta(OKTA) - 2026 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-12-02 23:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 FY 2026, the company reported total revenue growth of 10% and raised its full-year revenue growth outlook to 11% [17][18] - The non-GAAP operating margin for Q4 is expected to be 25%, with a full-year margin of 26% [17][18] - Free cash flow margin is projected at approximately 31% for Q4 and around 29% for the full year [17][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced strength with large customers and upsells in its workforce segment, particularly with new products like Okta Identity Governance [6][7] - New products are contributing significantly to results, with a record number of customers engaging with Okta's offerings [7][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has over 20,000 customers, positioning it well to become the identity layer for AI agents [9][10] - There is a surge in interest for agentic security solutions, with over 100 current customers representing more than $200 million in existing ARR [10][11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on securing AI agents and non-human identities, which is seen as a critical growth opportunity [8][12] - Okta is investing in innovation and expanding its product portfolio to simplify customer interactions and enhance security [7][14] - The strategy includes increasing the number of quota-carrying sales representatives to meet growing demand [16][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the upcoming Q4, which is expected to be the largest quarter of the year, and highlighted strong business momentum [44][46] - The company is confident in its strategy to capture emerging opportunities in the identity security space, particularly related to AI [14][35] Other Important Information - The company ended Q3 with nearly $2.5 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, indicating a strong balance sheet [17] - The company is evaluating its capital structure and considering investments in business growth, M&A, and opportunistic repurchases of outstanding notes [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: What convinces customers to consolidate their identity management with Okta? - Management noted that technological changes, particularly related to AI, are driving customers to consolidate their identity management systems with Okta [24][26] Question: Can AI capabilities be deployed by non-Okta customers? - Management confirmed that while many customers are interested in AI capabilities, the deployment can be applicable to any company, not just existing Okta customers [30][33] Question: How does the company view its guidance for the next fiscal year? - Management refrained from providing specific guidance for FY 2027, citing the need to assess Q4 performance first, but expressed confidence in business momentum and growth opportunities [40][48] Question: What is the status of the sales realignment efforts? - Management reported positive outcomes from the sales realignment, with improved sales productivity and lower attrition rates among account executives [80][81] Question: How is the company addressing the challenge of agentic commerce? - Management highlighted the importance of Auth0 for AI Agents in enabling businesses to build and manage agents effectively, addressing security and access challenges [59][62]
Okta(OKTA) - 2026 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-12-02 23:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 FY26, the company reported total revenue growth of 10% and raised its full-year FY26 revenue growth outlook to 11% [16][17] - The non-GAAP operating margin for Q4 is expected to be 25%, with a full-year FY26 margin of 26% [16][17] - Free cash flow margin is projected at approximately 31% for Q4 and around 29% for the full year FY26 [16][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced strength with large customers and upsells in the Okta workforce, particularly with new products like Okta Identity Governance [4][5] - New products are contributing significantly to results, with a record number of customers attending the Octane conference to learn about Okta's AI security solutions [5][6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has over 20,000 customers, positioning it well to become the identity layer for AI agents [8] - There has been a surge in interest for agentic security solutions, with over 100 current customers engaged, representing over $200 million in existing ARR [9][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on securing AI agents and managing non-human identities, which is seen as a significant growth opportunity [6][7] - Okta is investing in innovation and expanding its product portfolio to simplify customer interactions and improve security [5][12] - The strategy includes increasing the number of quota-carrying sales representatives to meet growing demand [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's strategy and momentum heading into the largest quarter of the year [12][17] - The emergence of AI technology is driving demand for Okta's solutions, as organizations seek to secure their AI agents [6][29] - Management noted that the government shutdown did not significantly impact Q3 results, and they remain optimistic about expanding presence in the public sector [13][14] Other Important Information - The company ended Q3 with nearly $2.5 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, indicating a strong balance sheet [16] - The company is evaluating its capital structure and considering investments in business growth, M&A, and opportunistic repurchases of outstanding notes [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss what convinces customers to consolidate their identity management with Okta? - Management indicated that technological changes, particularly related to AI, are driving customers to consolidate their identity management systems with Okta [19][22] Question: Can you provide insights on the interest in AI capabilities and potential revenue uplift? - Management noted that there is significant interest in AI capabilities, with many customers looking to integrate AI workflows into their operations, which could lead to increased spending [25][28] Question: How does the company view its sales realignment efforts and their impact on net retention? - Management expressed confidence in the effectiveness of sales realignment, noting improved sales productivity and low attrition rates, which should positively impact net retention [62][67] Question: Can you comment on the guidance for Q4 and FY27? - Management stated that Q4 is the largest quarter, and they are embedding conservatism in guidance due to its significance, with a clearer outlook expected after Q4 [40][70]
Okta(OKTA) - 2026 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-12-02 22:00
© Okta and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. © Okta and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Confidential Information of Okta – For Recipient's Internal Use Only. Safe Harbor This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the "safe harbor" provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including but not limited to, statements regarding our financial outlook, business strategy and plans, market trends and market size, opportunities and positioning. ...
More Of The Latest Thoughts From American Technology Companies On AI (2025 Q2) : The Good Investors %
The Good Investors· 2025-09-14 23:54
Core Insights - Adobe is heavily integrating AI into its Creative Cloud applications, with strong adoption of the Creative Cloud Pro offering, particularly in emerging markets like India, which saw a 50% year-over-year growth in ending units [2][3] - The Firefly application is becoming a central hub for creators, incorporating both Adobe's and third-party AI models, with significant growth in usage metrics such as a 30% increase in monthly active users and 20% growth in first-time subscribers [5][3] - Adobe GenStudio has surpassed $1 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR), growing 25% year-over-year, and is seen as a comprehensive solution for AI-driven marketing automation [9] - The Adobe Experience Platform (AEP) AI Assistant is being utilized by 70% of eligible customers, indicating a strong adoption of AI capabilities within the platform [10] - Adobe's AI-influenced ARR has exceeded $5 billion, reflecting the company's successful integration of AI across its product offerings [16] Adobe's AI Integration - Adobe's management is infusing AI across flagship applications like Photoshop and Illustrator, with new features such as Harmonize and Project Turntable enhancing user experience and productivity [2][3] - The Firefly application has seen 29 billion generations since its launch, with video generations increasing by 40% sequentially in 2025 Q2 [5][3] - The integration of third-party models into Adobe's applications is a key focus, with management emphasizing the importance of seamless workflows for users [7][8] Marketing Automation and Customer Experience - Adobe GenStudio is positioned as a leading solution for marketing automation, with new capabilities accelerating video and display ad campaign creation [9] - The company is leveraging AI to enhance customer engagement and loyalty, with a focus on hyperpersonalized experiences [11][12] - The launch of Adobe LLM Optimizer aims to improve brand visibility and drive traffic from AI chatbots, reflecting a strategic shift in marketing approaches [19][21] MongoDB's Position in AI - MongoDB is witnessing a surge in AI-native customers, positioning itself as a key component of the AI infrastructure stack [31][34] - The company is seeing strong growth in Atlas consumption, driven by capabilities like Search and Vector Search, which are essential for AI applications [32] - MongoDB's management believes that its JSON database structure is well-suited for handling complex and evolving data structures, making it advantageous for AI applications [44] Adyen's AI-Driven Solutions - Adyen's AI-powered Adyen Uplift technology is enhancing payment processes, improving conversion rates, and reducing costs through intelligent payment routing [25][26] - The company is focusing on agentic commerce, which requires new approaches to fraud prevention and secure information exchange [28][29] - Adyen's modular design allows merchants to adopt specific capabilities relevant to their business needs, with significant adoption rates for its Optimize and Protect modules [26]